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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Definitely did. Looks like some smoke from CO/KS/OK/TX wildfires made it up here. .
  2. Peak wind gusts thus far of 51MPH at ORD and MDW, and 53MPH at RFD. .
  3. DVN already answered that question, with a severe for the line entering W IL.
  4. Noticing a slow but steady downtrend in activity now, across IA and MO. .
  5. That should have occurred at the 20z outlook, or even the intermediate update the just recently issued at the latest.
  6. For anyone following the information Tim Marshall has been providing the past few days, a non-EF-5 rating should not come as a surprise. .
  7. Anything forming ahead of the line was never really in the cards. It was always going to be a line of mixed mode embedded supercells and QLCS. .
  8. Can’t figure out why the SPC didn’t pull the MOD risk back southwest to the current location of ongoing activity in NE. Also probably could have pulled the ENH southward into KS/MO. Alsooo, with this update you can argue for the need of a high risk for wind (the coveted 60% hatched), given how things are unfolding. .
  9. 84mph in La Junta as well. Those showers are definitely helping with the transfer down to the surface. .
  10. My guess is would be they would be forced to issue severe t’storm warnings. If a wind advisory were in place, you might be able to go with a short fused high wind warning…But with one already in effect, it leaves little in the way of other options. .
  11. Agree, 10% hatched tor and 45% hatched wind look good. I’d expect wind probabilities to be expanded a bit for the next update. .
  12. Still fully expect a period of 45-60MPH wind gusts across the area tomorrow evening into early Thursday morning. .
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