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Cerakoter1984

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Everything posted by Cerakoter1984

  1. Cerakoter1984
    Getting there... If the Euro is too warm and too far West with the cold here, then I think we may have a candidate for a storm of some interest.
  2. Cerakoter1984
    I fully expect to see an interesting storm in our area near Thanksgiving.
  3. Cerakoter1984
    Yes. Going to be hard to see a late fall pattern better than that. When retrogression begins,.... boom. This winter could be pretty historic. Too many dominoes falling in a row for it not to. Looking forward to writing about a lot of exciting weather this winter. Really haven't had much weather to write about around here in nearly 3 years.
  4. Cerakoter1984
    We're heading into a pretty good spot for being November. Hoping for a bit of retrogression after this pattern sets up.
  5. Cerakoter1984
    N. Pac configuration and solar mostly. It was a strong La Nina but it fits an overall pattern of years similar to 2010-11, 1988-89 also. There's some huge potential for major pattern amplification and blocking once we get a little way into winter and all throughout the rest of it. That also shares the characteristics of 1917-18.
  6. Cerakoter1984
    I believe this year will be 100% different than the last 2. I think that we are in for a pretty wild winter around these parts.
  7. Cerakoter1984
    It makes me really happy but also disappointed. 200% more than last year is still below normal. Lol
  8. Cerakoter1984
    Gonna throw this map up. I'm still leaning pretty hard towards this.
  9. Cerakoter1984
    November looks seriously a lot like early winter from where I'm sitting.
  10. Cerakoter1984
    Looks like I would have gotten snow in about two of those really. Talk about winters of being one county away from the fun. Yikes!
  11. Cerakoter1984
    Things looking to take off pretty fast over the next few days. Very reminiscent of 2000 and 2013 in my opinion.
  12. Cerakoter1984
    I'm looking forward to it. I'm still working and waiting on a few things to happen also before I write my thoughts out. Things are looking good for my area, in my opinion. The next 2 weeks are very critical in the overall long term pattern. Trades burst looks to cool ENSO back down. Something to keep in mind also, +AAM, -QBO, and a climbing PDO all argue for a -AO and a period of at least some cold for a large portion of the US this winter.
  13. Cerakoter1984
    I'm going with a slightly harsher scenario (cold) than most. I like 2000-01, 1984-85, 2008-09, and 2010-11. Going to get into research pretty quick and see if i can make an analog map or 2.
  14. Cerakoter1984
    Thank you.
  15. Cerakoter1984
    Where can I find that chart? That's a neat way to look at the temperatures.
  16. Cerakoter1984
    Is there a possibility of an inter-hemispheric temperature variability cycle coming into play here? Basically south pole warming and north pole cooling in the near future? May be a stupid question, but when you see weird stuff, is there a better time to ask a weird question?
  17. Cerakoter1984
    Agree. I'm sick of it.
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