LibertyBell

Yes, it's still April lol... what I do like is no more cut off lows and days of rain, maybe that noreaster changed the pattern finally?

so closer to a normal summer for us then

Maybe this means that we will have an el nino next winter, some of our hottest summers are after el ninos 1966, 1977, 1980, 1983, 1995, 2010 are some examples.

Yes I see 70s are forecast for all of next week after Monday so the warm season is definitely taking over now.

JM it depends on what kind of SW flow we are talking about. Our best summers had a big Sonoran Heat Release. This is why I was looking at 1980 for a comparable type pattern. An extremely hot airmass coming out of the southwest will completely override any oceanic influence unless you're way out by the Hamptons or East End. Especially in July and August. We've had record heat in the SW the last few years, so let's see if we can tap into that.

it will be interesting to see what analogs can be used for this summer. I can't think of any really hot sustainably hot summers following la ninas though. Something more like 2011 maybe when July is historically hot and then it gets rainy and not as hot in August? That la nina was stronger than this one. Or 1995 when it's hot and dry (but not quite to the level of 1993 or 2010?)

as long as it's above 50 and blue skies and no onshore wind I'm happy lol.

Don. we've been discussing a possible 1980 analog for the upcoming summer, what do you think? We haven't had a summer like that in a very long time!

Good to see no cold wind off the ocean today.

The 2024 harvest for South Jersey wineries will be one of the best in history. “This is going to be probably the best harvest as far as quality we’ve ever seen here in New Jersey,” said Larry Sharrott, owner of Sharrott Winery. The lack of rainfall led to higher quality fruit, which will lead to more premium wines. Sharrott told NBC10 that they haven’t seen much rain at his Hammonton, Atlantic County, in a few months. “By my estimation, on this site, we’re probably 5 to 6 inches behind,” he said. The lack of rainfall led to higher quality fruit, which will lead to more premium wines. “It helps us concentrate our fruit flavors, increases sugar concentration, so you get these really lush beautiful wines,” Sharrott said. “We want them to be moisture starved throughout the season because that actually improves the color intensity.” wow, it would be interesting to find a list of other great years for east coast wine. Hot and dry would do it.

wow that would be an interesting summer to relive, the July-August couplet was the hottest on record at NYC, 62 days average temperature over 80.0 (off the top of my head I think July averaged 79.7 and August averaged 80.6) in NYC.

I have to check that out, I'm interested in stuff like that-- eastern Long Island has some of the best wineries east of the west coast lol. Central NJ does too I'm sure.

Yes the perfect day! I'm good with 6 days a week like this and 1 day a week of rain.

dry weather is really good for growing grapes and wine 1993 had some of our best, 2010 must be up there too.

dry spells are fine, as long as it's not a severe drought it's good. I hate excessive rainfall all it does is cause bugs to multiply and pisses me off lol

Look up maps of June-September 1980, the heat began in the SW and expanded northeastward and covered the whole country except for the west coast by July 20th and stuck around until September 20th. Large loss of life in St Louis, 1980 was to St Louis like 1995 was to Chicago. The hottest August on record for NYC and the only August that averaged 80.0 or higher.

Lyrid meteor shower tonight, great sky conditions for it.

it almost makes one root on CC lol

today nice and sunny and tomorrow looks like a repeat

can you estimate snowfall for new york city going all the back to 1836 using these maps Roger?

FINALLY last night was very cold and windy but today is just great and tomorrow will be too, NO CLOUDS can you include sky cover forecasts too, warm weather is meaningless if it's cloudy or raining.

as long as we dont get onshore flow and lots of rain I'm happy with a hot dry summer like 2010.

screw wet, no one wants a wet summer, that needs to stay in the spring. Give me a 2010 repeat

any good analogs? The type of heat you're describing sounds like 1980

I hope he's okay. Not answering emails....