NEPASnow

And I thought only people from NEPA got pushback on this forum

so we don't want the Ace to go above 200 or we do for better chance for east coast winter potential next season?

got screwed just like most of us, what an epic Fail

mesoscale models seem to be struggling with the transfer

Thanks, my bad as well. The other sub forums on american are kinda lame

thanks but unfortunately the other parts of the forum don't really cover my area and I found this forum at times cover my area better then upstate or mid atlantic

Funny Big man with a keyboard

wow, this how you treat all members who want to learn about the weather.

but we do live in the NE so its all relevant

who cares

just posting 18z euro output for parts of NE, I know its not all of SNE

some impressive precip amounts in central pa, nepa and lower hudson valley

what's Bernie reasoning for this tweet?

its always been the northern most of the models, or is our confluence going away?

it is Feb, bring it! Supposed to be cold and snowy this time of year

this is only strong by sea surface temps and nothing else, this was a weak-mod el nino based on soi

All modeling atm

explain please

There is still a SSW, and a possible split still might occur, just not a reversal.

Major Stratoshperic warming taking place, let's see where it takes us.

thanks for the constructive reply

helpful response snowman

I know some people don't appreciate Steve Dimartino , but I wanted to get some posters on here opinions as well. " We know that El Nino has shifted from an east-based to basin-wide in the past few weeks, but the subsurface anomalies suggest that this El Nino could shift further west over the next few weeks. The warmest subsurface anomalies are pushing towards NINO 3.4 and NINO 4 for the first time in this El Nino event. What catches my eye is that this warm water pool is several hundred meters deep, suggesting that future upwelling will produce equally warm temperature anomalies. Meanwhile, the support for sustained anomalies over 1.5° in NINO 1+2 and NINO 3 is rapidly waning."