BGM Blizzard

4 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Not a buyer. We are near 12:1 here.  It can't be that different. 20:1 is leaf blower stuff.  Amateurs.

Idk. It's def alot higher than 12:1. Has to atleast be somewhere in the 20s. Not sure if the measurement was by NWS office or as part of the Asos observation.

This event seems comparable to the overperforming hybrid storm in November 2016 when we got like 22 inches from an intense Ontario/Cayuga Lake band aided by deep synoptic moisture.

4 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

That's Bullsh!t. No way it's 40:1. 

Slight correction. They stated approaching 40:1 so must be somewhere in the mid/upper 30s

BGM citing 40:1 ratio down here with most recent AFD update. Definitely believable. Some of the purest fluff I've ever seen with excellent snow growth. The most perfect conditions.

8 minutes ago, WxNoob said:

Pushing 2 feet in spots here. Conservative guess is 16-18 just pouring snow here.

Definitely benefiting from enhancement off Cayuga Lake from your way down to here. Definitely getting more than expected. BGM upgraded Tioga and Broome to a WSW a short time ago. Has the feeling of being pinned under a synoptic meso weenie band.

Still SN+ with great fluff factor yielding rapid accumulation on all surfaces. BGM might need to upgrade Tioga and Broome to WSW at this rate with little change in location and intensity of this band for potentially while yet.

Sun angle is making for wet roads but getting some good accumulation on the grass. Snowing steady at estimated inch/hr rate for last 2 hours. About 6 inches on ground right now. Will take. 

Euro looked tasty for next Tuesday. Looked like potential double digits for majority of forum.

There has been a death band parked across ALY's western New England zones (Litchfield CT - Pittsfield MA - Bennington VT) for a while now. Has to be some 30+ totals coming out of the high terrain there.

Time for BGM to do the deed and cancel the WWA's and replace the WSW's with WWA's.

Not even inch here with wet road. A band came thru earlier with good rates for about 30 mins but now back to white mist. 

Pretty disappointing end if this is the last of the synoptic white for this winter. Say what want about how bad the euro has dropped off but clearly it still has a leg up on the rest of the modeling as more often than not it seems to still outperform the rest. Certainly it has with this storm... atleast as it concerns upstate ny, with its consistent eastern most track.

Wish this were the EPS Mean, but here is the tastiest member of the several that are well west...

pretty balsy by BGM to hoist watches all the way back to the Route 12 corridor. Wasn't expecting that. I'd gladly sign for a WWA and 3-6 right now.

I swear if the 12k NAM and 3k NAM are correct and score a coup on the rest of the models at this range I will never say another bad thing about it for being a bad model outside 24 hours. Damn.