Blue Dream

3 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said:

Has anyone have an idea when this storm will exit out and finish? Last I heard was around 3pm.

Latest HRRR had our area in light snow until around 2 PM 

11 minutes ago, Demeter said:

I am headed to AC from Virginia. Have to come back to my old stomping grounds for the good ones!  Weekend at a casino it is

Looks to be a great spot for this storm. Have fun 

6 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

0z even better wow:

Non-kuchera:

Woah

5 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Me likey the 00z HRRR. Same with the 23z RAP. Please be right for once in their life cycle  

Is the HRRR ever right?  Looks impressive for far southeastern PA

Snowing nicely in Morrisville now…hope we all get crushed!  Cheers friends 

5 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

NWS Blend @ 12z... seems in line with Mt. Holly's call

 

Sick!  I think we have a shot at 6"+ in Lower Bucks depending on the banding obviously.

5 minutes ago, hazwoper said:

I like where we sit here in extreme SEPA.  Thinking 6-8" in my area with bust potential slightly favoring a bit more.  We'll see how it shakes out.

I am thinking the same!  Can't help but be jealous of SNE but this will be a solid event.

51 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said:

Finally seeing some flakes, @Blue Dream you are next.

Yes!  I am at work in Langhorne and it's coming down nicely...sticking on everything too

1 minute ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said:

 

Toss that junk. Everything's dialed in on something big. This one's out to lunch 

Is that model ever right?

10 minutes ago, caviman2201 said:

Could be worse... look at Wilmington to NYC. Of course, much of that will be filled in this weekend.

Yup, I can confirm. I’m from that snow hole in SE PA. All we got was about 4” form the 1/7 storm

1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said:

Oops, I have you confused with a different poster, 3-6 will verify. I had you out in Bensalem.

Looks like there will be some really sharp cut offs for our area 

Just now, Violentweatherfan said:

This is doable, at this point I do think we'll see snow. I should see those amounts but in your case I'd temper that a bit.

I'm in Yardley/Morrisville area which looks to be on the cusp

Just now, Violentweatherfan said:

Don't forget it has performed poorly this year. 

I know...I'm hoping we can get 3-6" at this point

Euro keeps hope alive...

@stormtracker Thanks for the great PBP...not all of us from the Philly forum are trolls (rock and sock)

8 minutes ago, Zeus said:

Thank you! I hope all is well in Truth or Consequences, New Mexico, and look forward to your insights when you feel the time is right to make science upon us.

No need to feed the troll 

Let's hope 18z is much better than yesterday's 18z suite

Anyone have the EPS?

1 minute ago, The Iceman said:

 

Ratio's would likely be higher than 10:1 too. This is a MECS for 95 eastward as depicted by the Euro. Hopefully the GFS and CMC continue to trend towards it.

Amazing...also congrats Rehobeth lol

No banter, please. 

35 minutes ago, Rockem_sockem_connection said:

It's been a cold month I don't really need "stats" to tell me that. Way colder than last January but I guess some rogue 51 degree days brought the stats up. Problem with forecasting is no one except me uses feel and life experience for thinking about what has/is going to happen. Ain't everything revolve around a stat or computer model folks.

So the Euro looks great for snow but I don't it verifies. That models been out to lunch longer than Brandon lol I would pay more attention to the other ones. 

Brandon...really?

1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said:

That was painful, 4 hours 

That absolutely sucked. Sure we had about 20” but it could’ve been 30 easily lol

1 minute ago, Birds~69 said:

Exactly...it's midday Monday?

As a long time follower this will change a million times to make your head spin....hopefully for the best. Not getting hyped before 48hrs....it's just a waste of time IMO unless you're a MET and this is your career/livelihood.

33F

Totally agree...maybe this is one that locks in for a few days like that Buffalo storm a few weeks back.

3 minutes ago, Birds~69 said:

And can change back, in a bad/good way, just as quickly. Wednesday is the absolute earliest I would take anything somewhat seriously....hell, it's Monday.

Starts Friday night...we're in a good spot for now

5 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

I’ll take p14 and call it a winter. It’ll be 2016 all over again. 

For sure!  Minus the dry slot.