Fact is, here, we have already exceeded our average snow for an entire winter. We have between 9-10" total so far. The average is somewhere around 6-7". I hope we get more and I believe we will, but if we didn't, it wouldn't be a bad winter here.
Well looks like we can definitely start looking past this weekend... the pattern looks really good going into late next week.... definitely some possibilities coming up and February is setting up to being a possibly active month.
To bad its the long range NAM. It actually looks pretty good. The vort is not flat or strung out, almost neutral tilt... who knows where it would have went...
It does seem like this winter that we usually have 1 or 2 models show a good hit between 5-7 days out. And then it goes poof... I guess it's to progressive of a pattern and the systems just stay to far south and have no chance to kreep northward.
6z GFS still has a major ice storm this morning... 0z euro jumped on board with a little more snow/ice. We will see how this continues to go. UK still has it. The cmc is still not there...
What's encouraging, and the take away from 12z, is most guidance is showing something wintry around Sunday/Monday time frame... 12z CMC is more suppressed but we will see...