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dj3

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Everything posted by dj3

  1. dj3
    All good man just kidding around. Don’t sweat the nam too much. It’s been a fun track and we’re in as good of a spot as anyone for this.
  2. dj3
    Kpit will poo poo this to double digits. It’s why we love him
  3. dj3
    They shouldn’t have upgraded it. I want the old nam. On the other hand how did it give us 6+ when we’re in a dry slot for 6 hours of the height of the storm haha
  4. dj3
    The entire storm is sleet on nam. There isn’t snow anywhere lol
  5. dj3
    Yes pattern looks loaded. And we get a good period of cold.
  6. dj3
    Best Gfs run there in a little while. Really gets the deform cranking at 66
  7. dj3
    Starting to see some convergence. 8-12 starting to look more and more solid.
  8. dj3
    Nice bullseye over your house
  9. dj3
    Watching the weather channel now. I miss how the extended forecast used to have that BIG snowflake when it was going to snow. The extended now just says pm snow showers lol. That’s when you new a big storm was coming
  10. dj3
    Yea almost identical to rgem
  11. dj3
    I feel like the rgem owes us one
  12. dj3
    Looked way warmer despite not much of a shift in track. Let’s see what Reginald has to say
  13. dj3
    Precip totals are really low west of the low everywhere on that run compared to other models
  14. dj3
    Yea I agree. Like I said before it locks into that from this far out tip your cap.
  15. dj3
    Yep dry slotted again with perfect track lol.
  16. dj3
    Rgem would be a huge hit if it went out further I think. I like gfs and Canadian precip swath better than the spotty crap the Nam threw out there. This is a pretty dynamic system you’d think someone is getting really good rates
  17. dj3
    That other low pressure reflection meandering in central west virginia probably doesn't help with the dryslot. I'll write it off to bad luck if we get the models spot on with that dry slot from 100 hours out.
  18. dj3
    The low track seems perfect. Is this more just subsidence between the really good banding just west of the occluded low pressure and the deform band much further west? I would expect a dry slot if this was tracking right over head but it isn't.
  19. dj3
    Yep. Was worried about a shift east but looks really similar to 6z
  20. dj3
    I'll be concerned if the GFS OP starts to follow the ensembles. It did the best with first picking up on the trend for a storm Monday and Tuesday.
  21. dj3
    A lot of good hits in there. That’s the best eps run I’ve seen thus far with the least number of total whiffs. Consensus building I would say for some type of impact.
  22. dj3
    Hopefully that is ok to copy and paste those. Apologize if not.
  23. dj3
  24. dj3
    Just going by snowfall maps from upstate ny thread.
  25. dj3
    I count about 15-20 closes misses or whiffs on individual members. Almost all look to be East.
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