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Tater Tot

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Posts posted by Tater Tot


  1. lmao the roads in Fredericksburg, VA are dreadful. First time I've ever seen an overturned car! On the police scanner, you can hear the dispatchers starting to get annoyed. "Another car in a ditch... turned over... on its roof. Be advised.  <_< "


  2. The tree damage was immensely more severe in those cases, with shredding/snapping of mature, hard pines and coconut palms, among other species. Species that defoliate easily, especially in the seasonally dry (sub-)tropical forests of Mexico, the Caribbean, and South Florida, were completely stripped of leaves in several of the cases that I noted. (For good U.S. examples, see North Captiva Island and the Deering Estate after Charley and Andrew, respectively; Google or read up on the "Seaward Explorer" for the latter.) In the '35 hurricane, I've even seen photos in publications showing debarking of entire mangrove forests at Cape Sable and within the inner core on the Keys--something that I've yet to see in any other tropical cyclone.

     

     

    Hey, this is really interesting! Do you have a link or some other form of reference that you could send me? I would love to see it.


  3. Wow, congrats on the upcoming addition to your family. Yay! :)

     

    I'm surprised FLOYD would match PATRICIA's tightness, because at landfall that one was a large, broad circulation with a big windfield, if I remember correctly.

     

    Thanks for your kinds words. It's very exciting to be able to bring value to the science end of it. Isn't it amazing how much just a little high-quality field data can add to the equation?

     

    Yeah, Floyd was a huge mess at landfall. His circulation just about took up the entire eastern seaboard.

     

    satellite.jpg

     

    :yikes:

     

    Honestly, the only recent East Coast storms I know of that looked halfway decent were 1984's Dirty Troll Diana before she recurved and came right back like she forgot her car keys, and Hugo.  


  4. Good lord, I don't even know what I'm looking at in that picture. Where is the eye even supposed to be? Heck, the radar picture of the 1944 storm probably had better quality! pukey.gif

     

    And I have no idea if the radar pic in my avatar is actually Celia. It just said it was in the description below it.  :P

     

    i59m4n.jpg

     

    This shot was apparently taken at 1300 whereas your picture was taken at 2000, but if anything your picture should look better, because it was explosively strengthening. Weird. 


  5. Moving away from the weirdness above and getting back on topic...

     

     

    LOL, you're right about CHARLEY. As beautiful as that core was, yeah, it was a little asymmetric. Still Grade-A, though.

     

    I agree with you Re: CELIA-- one of my all-time favorites because of how weird and violent the winds were. (And I'm pretty sure it'll be upgraded to Cat 4 in reanalysis.) But have you ever seen a radar shot of CELIA? It looked weirdly crappy, with the N eyewall open. All the good sh*t-- the stuff that caused the chain of industrial-grade microbursts across metro Corpus Christi-- was in the S eyewall.

     

    Back to PATRICIA... Yeah, when the winds were 175 knots, I remember feeling a little sick about it. I'm not sure I'm glad it weakened, though. I wanted to witness (and collect data in) the ultimate-- even if it was life-threatening. What I got was good enough, though.

     

     

    Wow, yeah, that looks amazing. Wow. Never saw this. Noice! B)

     

     

     Yeah, ANITA was sick. Could you imagine what it would look like on today's radars? Omg.

     

    Isn't my current avatar (which is just a placeholder until I find something better, that hasn't been posted a billion times before) the only radar shot that exists of Celia? I'll be honest, since it's from 1970 and I'm far from being a met, I have no idea what I'm looking at.  :P Frederic's eyewall (which is rumored to have been roughly around the same intensity as Celia's at landfall) is weirdly disappointing too.

     

    Celia was a lot like Andrew in terms of the southern eyewall convection. Convective cells kept popping up ashore, blowing up and peaking over the Naranja area, and then dying back out.

     

    hurricane-andrew-homestead-convection.pn

     

    Maybe that has something to do with the northern eyewall looking so poor. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯


  6. Oh, hey, man! Thanks very much-- and nice to see you here.   :)

     

    Re: best radar images at landfall... Of course it's subjective, but I'd agree with you that ANDREW in FL is way up there. I always thought CHARLEY in FL looked amazing-- so much so that every time I see the images I kick myself for not having chased it. (I was living in Europe then.) 

     

    Typhoon GONI of this year looked totally hawt as it rapidly intensified to a Cat 4 and lashed Japan's Yaeyama Islands. I chased that one-- with the red star indicating my location on Ishigaki-jima. The weather station a block from my hotel measured a gust to 138 knots (159 mph).

    Whoa, the Goni image is sick. It's like Anita but with color.  :lmao:

     

    Charley is one of my favorite storms ever (along with Celia) because it was so powerful and yet so rarely talked about outside of the weather weenie circles. But, I'll admit, I've always been a little disappointed with the way the red never completely wrapped itself around the eye...

     

    1-radar-2-charley.jpg

     

    Anyway, I'm actually kinda glad Patricia weakened the way that she did. I remember the moment the 879 reading came in from recon and thinking, "Wow, this might become Josh's Swan Island..." meaning, the storm that was so violent that it gives you PTSD, ala the guy who stayed huddled under the desk during Janet.


  7. I went through the recon images and pulled the last three radar shots of the cyclone's core, from about 1 hour before landfall. The plane was quite far from the storm at this point, so there's some attenuation—but the images clearly show that PATRICIA retained a tiny, concentrated inner core up to landfall.

     

    Radar images from earlier in the afternoon showed the development of a secondary, outer eyewall—however, a secondary, outer wind max was not apparent on the ground. We got clobbered once, really hard, by that tiny, inner ring. The total duration of damaging winds—including the passage of the eye—was only ~2 hours. The event was very violent, but short duration—this despite the fact that the cyclone wasn't moving very fast.

     

    attachicon.gifPATRICIA_radars_COMPLETE.png

    Hey Josh! Newbie; big fan. We've talked on Youtube before under your Typhoon Danas video. I'm curious what you think the best eyewall ever captured on radar is? From what I've seen I'd definitely say Andrew but there are probably some lesser known ones that you know of.

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