Tater Tot

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Posts posted by Tater Tot


  1. 15 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

    As far as structure for a large hurricane at landfall, this is the most impressive system since Hugo for the US. A large windfield and still a symmetrical buzzsaw on IR after landfall.

     

    Definitely, this is the most full-package storm that the US has seen since Hugo. It's just classic.


  2. Something that isn't mentioned a lot, but I've always found interesting: The people who survive this are still in for potentially years of psychological effects. I can't find it anymore, but I read a research paper one time about survivors of Hugo and Andrew's eyewalls developing full-fledged PTSD.

     

    (The end of this page mentions a Hurricane Janet survivor still waking up with nightmares 20 years later: http://www.canebeard.com/andrew.html)


  3. Just now, Windspeed said:
    6 minutes ago, Tater Tot said:
    PJLVXLu.gif&key=76f8f798d029d2cd6a9d626de951559a859da390f0dfde59b3b4f33d5ec79143

    Looks to be undergoing yet another ERC.
     

    The ERC is pretty much over. What you are seeing is remnant cloud debris breaking down inside the new eyewall. That should continue to clear out as long as convection doesn't refire with that old lingering cell.

    Thanks. Sorry for clogging up the thread with false info; I would have sworn that was an ERC. :wacko:

    • Like 1

  4. Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

    I don't disagree with that.

    I don't know....just raising the possibility.

    We can all name many hurricanes that weakened significantly and relatively unexpectedly just prior to landfall....the one caveat being that this is not on the far northern gulf coast, which is an area that makes them more prone to ingesting continental air.

    This is true, it's certainly not impossible for it to fall apart before landfall--I don't remember anyone expecting a storm like Patricia to collapse as drastically as she did, either. But, like you said, this isn't the northern gulf. TX hurricanes actually seem more prone than most to strengthen up to landfall; the only ones I can think of off the top of my head that were on a weakening trend were Rita and Bret.


  5. 1 minute ago, NJwx85 said:

    Not sure why someone would call it a pinhole eye, it's still trying to clear out.

    Still not much sign of warming occurring on IR near the center.

     

    The eye that was forming on the floater I posted looked tiny, but you're right, it's still just clearing out.


  6. What scares me about another potential 1938 is that NE'ers now think Sandy was the nightmare scenario. I can't picture them taking the warnings seriously. In the times that I've mentioned NE hurricanes in conversations with people, they immediately jump to power outages, like that's really the worst that can happen.