It’s been a tough year for sure but things are finally starting to look good. Wednesday is going to snow and beyond looks good. Possible -NAO, active, favorable MJO, I like what I see.
Looking at the QBO data and it’s looks like the December value was at 8. The positive QBO could be making it harder for high latitude blocking to set up. It’s like the SSW wants to set up blocking but the state of the QBO isn’t letting it happen. The progression does look similar to 94-95. However, I still have hope for the NAO to turn negative as the long range guys keep thinking it will.