Blizzard of 93

We still have the chance for a little front end snow next weekend, but most models have storm cutting for the lakes & bringing good snow to the Midwest. Still time for changes, but the best hope with this storm next weekend is to improve the front end with a flatter track that doesn’t gain much as much latitude.

Yes, they got it right with the 3.3” of snow for yesterday at MDT officially with the Overnight final Daily Climate Summary. Lol, I didn’t go down to the airport!

0z GFS is close for the 16th but it fizzles this run as it moves a little further east , but the potential is there.

The 0z Canadian looks really interesting for next weekend for at least some front end snow for much of CTP.

Great, thanks for the response! Hopefully the full accurate measurement for MDT gets recorded for the event on the final Daily Climate Summary overnight.

Lol, I just want to have someone kindly ask the question to confirm that they got it right.

Speaking of reported totals, do you have any way to contact CTP to ask them about MDT’s snow total today?

Yes, they were at 33 for much of the heavy snow. I would be ok with a little under 10-1, but 2.0 of snow on .42 of precip is less than 5-1 ratio. A snow total with a 3 in front of it would understandable, but not a 2.0.

The CTP website says daily climate summary as of 5 pm. I see that you are a Meteorologist & your name sounds familiar. Do you work for the National Weather Service? If you have any contacts at CTP, I would love to know if this is their official total for MDT or will they adjust it tonight with the final Daily Climate Summary overnight?

Also, more fake news is the snow depth of 0 at 5 pm!

Looking at the minute to minute MDT observations, they reported snow until 5 pm. Visibility started to rise after 4 pm so there was likely mixing, but still there is no way they only had 2 inches of snow.

@canderson @Coop_Mason or anyone else on here with social media…. I think in the past, one of you reached out on Facebook or Twitter to ask about MDT’s snow total. I really need to know how they recorded only 2.0 inches of snow today through 5 pm on .42 of precip. The “exact” 2.0 is suspect as well…

I’m not on Twitter or Facebook, but it would be great if someone could reach out to them to inquire about their total. This is what goes in the books when we look back & things like this mess up the yearly tallies. A couple of inches of snow here or there add up over time. If it wasn’t 10-1 that’s fine, but I’m sure they had at least 3 inches or so at the minimum.

I’m seriously considering calling them to inquire.

This is an absolute joke…! How in the heck did MDT only record 2.0 inches of snow today at the 5 pm summary. They had .42 of precip through 5 pm. Did someone look out of the air traffic control tower & phone in to CTP & say, “it looks like 2 inches Bob”!?!??! Hopefully this gets corrected on the official oversight daily summary. There is absolutely no darn way they had 2 inches of snow MDT on .42 of precip.

5.1” of snow in Marysville. Sleet has been mixing with snow in the last 15 minutes.

Congrats on the Warning level event!

MDT still reporting snow with .75 mile visibility at 4 pm. MDT has .33 of total precip through 4 pm today so far.

Moderate to heavy snow continues in Marysville. My 4 pm measurement was 4.2” snow.

Congrats

Warning level event verified for you. Congrats!

Latest HRRR still has good snow to go from the Harrisburg area to to north & west.

That line at the MD border looks impressive. I wish you well!

I’m at 3.1” in Marysville at 3 pm with moderate to occasional heavy snow with good flake size.

Great recent update from CTP “NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/... *** Very heavy snowfall rates expected across the region for 3-4 hours this afternoon into early this evening *** Primary emphasis remains on a several hour period of very heavy snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour (and perhaps even 3 inches per hour rates for a brief time) progressing northeast across the CWA this afternoon and early this evening. Strong uvvel via a combination of WAA and FGEN forcing at the nose of a 40-50 kt south-serly LLJ and beneath the right entrance region of an upper lvl jet streak will support an approx 2-3 hour period of intense snowfall rates with still 0.5-1 inch per hour snowfall rates bracketing this period on both sides. That will be the bulk of the snowstorm. A quick- hitting intense variety that will make travel and plowing extremely difficult for those several hours. The period of heaviest snowfall for our SW Zones will conclude by 22Z, while the region from KBFD to KUNV and KMDT/KLNS will see the heaviest snow between 20Z and 00Z Sun, and 22Z Sat-02Z Sunday for KIPT and the Western Poconos. Vsbys in the heart of these time intervals will be as low as just a few hundred feet. 3-5 inches of snow has already fallen across the Laurel Highlands as of 19Z and there is another 2-3 hours of 1+ inch per hour snowfall rates ahead, with lingering lighter snow afterward. This will be representative of what we`ll see across the Central 2/3rds of the CWA later this afternoon and evening and our current forecast snow totals look in great shape. The toughest forecast remains close to the I-81 corridor in Scent PA where the max wet bulb aloft reaches 0C to +1 C. This slightly above freezing layer aloft may not be thick enough to support melting (usually need about +1-2C aloft to support a true changeover to sleet. What we may see is periods of significant snowflake aggregation and rapid accums of these larger flakes. We could easily see Warning Criteria snowfall of 5-8 inches over the northern 1/3 of York County with Advisory amounts of 3-4 inches in the southern part of the county with a similar occurrence NW to SE across Lancaster County. A very tough call with just how thick and how far NW the melting layer aloft will get. Temps at mid afternoon remain within a fairly tight 5 deg F range between 28 deg F (across much of the Central, NW Mtns and Laurel Highlands), to 31-33F over the Lower Susq Valley. Extrapolation of the back edge of the thicker, textured seeder feeder clouds (Moving NE at 45 KTS) will be near a KBFD to KUNV and KHGR line around 23Z and across the Susq Valley and points NE between 00-01Z Sunday. Snowfall rates will rapidly decrease afterward with some areas of -FZDZ possible, esp across the SE half of the state.”