Blizzard of 93

0z GFS is looking a lot more interesting for the chance on the 15th. Definitely room for possible improvement at the surface with this look at H5.

18z GFS shows a couple of opportunities between the 15th & 19th. The first chance is light this run, but could have been more if the pieces phased better. The second chance misses south this run, but again the potential is there.

18z AI EPS also likes the 20th period.

That run was close to delivering at least 3 events by day 16. I think it’s just a matter of time until we are keying in on a specific trackable storm.

0z GFS has another potential juicy looking system approaching this run on day 16.

0z GFS has another potential juicy looking system approaching this run on day 16.

0z GFS for the 15th has a low approaching from the south that rides up & off of the coast. It was closer to something more this run, but most of us at this point would take it as depicted this run.

Definitely close to something more this run.

Of course…but just showing what the model shows at this time. It should just be used to get a general idea. Hopefully it’s on the right track…

The Euro Weeklies today look even better in terms of temperatures & precip for the 7 day period ending January 31. Bottom line if the ensembles & Weeklies have the right general idea, we should have chances for Winter storms for mid month through the end of the month.

Today’s Euro Weeklies agree with liking this same period for a better looking amount of precip with below normal temperatures for the 7 day window ending the 25th.

As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well.

As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well.

18z AI ensembles also agree with the good look in week 2.

Enjoy the 4 day warm up…