Blizzard of 93

0z GFS & 6z GFS are still showing interesting looks for potential Winter storm chances towards end of the month into the first few days of the New Year. The onset of Blocking really throws models fits until they can see the full impact of the -NAO. If it sets up just right, we could be tracking a meaningful potential storm. The 0z GFS showed this beauty of a chance at the end of its run.

The 18z GFS got more interesting for the Tuesday am weak wave chance. This run gets 1 to 2 inches of snow into the LSV.

Wild weather day! Heavy rain, followed by 2 hours of relatively warm sunshine, then more heavy rain & wind. Then, Snow showers when leaving my office in Harrisburg & snow showers in Marysville with a light dusting on car tops.

The 0z GFS brought back the potential chance for an end of the month coastal that is influenced by the -NAO.

6z GFS has some light snow & mix on Tuesday.

Longer term, the GFS & Euro both are showing the potential of a more significant coastal type of storm towards New Year’s in response to the -NAO blocking pattern that looks to become established the last week of tye month.

The overnight models are still trying to resolve the potential of a weak wave around Christmas that could deliver a mix for many of us.

It is truly remarkable that MDT is running 9 degrees below normal temperature for the month through 12/16. What a cold stretch, along with above normal snow for the season to date at 4.7 inches. Great start to the season & hopefully we are on our way to a good Winter that is overdue for many of us.

The Euro has a similar look but is displaced a little further north & east with mostly rain for CTP around Christmas. The GFS has been bouncing around today. The general idea of a wave tracking near us is there sometime around Christmas Day, but the details need resolved as the week goes on. Hopefully we end up on the right side of the boundary to get a couple of inches of snow to a mix if we get the right track & the cold in the northeast can hold in enough east of the mountains.

The Canadian looks a lot like the 6z GFS from earlier today with a chance of a little snow to icy mix for many of us.

0z & 6z GFS both showed potential for Christmas wintry weather with a possible icy mix & snow for most of CTP. The Canadian last night had a mix as well. The Euro was not on board. Here is the 6z GFS for Christmas.

18z GFS is still trying to give us the chance of some light snow or mix with 2 wave potentials toward Christmas.

That’s great to hear! Many of us on here were thinking of you & rooting for your recovery! I’m looking forward to tracking our next snow chance on here with you!

It’s going to be tough to get wintry precip before Christmas with the advertised pattern. Temps should be relatively seasonable after our few day warm up later this week. The period between just after Christmas & before New Year’s showed some potential for chances on the 0z GFS. It looks potentially active, so hopefully we are on the right side of the boundary.

Great to hear from you! How are you doing?