Blizzard of 93

@brooklynwx99 posted this in another thread earlier this evening. “this speaks for itself... AIFS-ENS is very similar to Feb 21. not advertising impacts like that, obviously, but it's becoming clear that this setup holds high end potential. we'll see how things trend in the coming days, but man that is uncanny”

18z EPS & 18z AI EPS look great as well for the Sunday chance. Lots of maps are posted in the Mid Atlantic thread for your viewing pleasure.

Yes, indeed, hopefully we reel this one in for Sunday.

I know, but I didn’t believe it, but here we are, lol!

Lol, this worthless storm is infuriating me to the bitter end… I I don’t think that I have EVER seen a freaking change over happen well to my South east prior to my change over to snow in Marysville. Normally the change over happens first in Altoona, State College, Newport, Marysville, MDT, then Lancaster l, etc… Not tonight!

18z GFS AI & 18z GEFS AI also have the 23rd chance.

18z Euro AI has the 23rd chance.

The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.

Here is the 12z EPS 24 hour precip & snow for the 23rd chance.

The window on the 23rd on the 12z EPS has a favorable Miller B look this run that could lead to a potential winter storm chance.

Even after whatever table scraps we may get this evening, the 12z Euro & Euro AI say that the pattern through the end of this month looks to be active with a few Winter storm chances.

12z GFS still is showing 1 to 2 inches of snow tonight for the LSV.

The “better” runs early yesterday had the LSV getting .4 to .5 of precip that produced 3 to 4 inches of snow on the snow maps. Now, in that same time period, the models are closer to .2 of precip, so that’s only producing around 1 inch or snow or less in recent runs.

It’s all about precip rates. If we would get good precip, it would snow. Marginal situations require good rates to overcome & snow.