WinterWolf

957mb lol..it’ll be gone next run..so no worries.

And sometimes (we’ve seen it happen), great patterns just don’t produce for whatever reason? Or they don’t produce what we winter enthusiasts may want. And sometimes the not so good looking patterns produce just fine, especially when you get some random timing that benefits the area etc etc.... I think that’s where we are currently as Will just pointed out. It’s not a text book gorgeous pattern... but maybe this plain Jane gives us a couple Chances going forward?

This. Some folks live and die with each op run...that is a lesson in futility, and not the way to go through the winter...at least not for me. And even the ensembles have been erratic at times too. They’re gonna waffle, as you stated that’s what models do. Climo is heading in our favor now, let’s see how things play out. At least That’s how I feel now.

Been up that way and through Quebec City and then over/through the Laurentians quite a few times, to go sledding in Jonquere/Chicoutimi area, now called Saugenay City I believe. Gorgeous and very wintry area for sure.

I think we’ll have our chances...in SNE.

I was 9, and would turn 10 about 5 wks later when the Blizzard of 78 hit. That was a very good winter obviously. The 80’s had a lot of suck..but there were some bright spots too thrown in. April of 82, Feb of 83, March of 84 just to name a few brighter spots. Thanksgiving of 89 had a nice snowstorm.

Yup...it’s all a gamble. I’m not worried about the pig setting up shop all winter. If some want to be worried about some snapshot 3 wks into the future, we’ll that’s up to them. We’ll have our chances going forward...and climo is gaining for us now also.

And there was also support for (the pattern)getting good now or very shortly...that changed fast too. 3 wks away is a long time. You know how it goes...there was support for a very nice looking pattern, until there wasn't support anymore.

3 weeks from now is a long time....if it was showing a fantastic pattern for 3 weeks from now, would you be buying it?

And they didn’t either.

So you’re saying there’s a chance....? Personally imo, I’d give it a lil more chance than 35%. I’d say 50% especially as climo just keeps getting more and more favorable for SNE.

We DIDNT.

I agree. Just throwing it out there that something a week out is in no way a certainty in any direction. Obviously you know this better than I do, but sometimes we are too quick to condemn things around here it seems. But I agree, it looks right now like it has a better chance at cutting west than not. But really, none of us really know if that potential will even be there in two or three days too? Could just as easily go poof and not happen/materialize. Im just not ready to write off the rest of December on the 6th..but that’s just me.

No, a tad over an inch. We succeeded in Covering the ground completely, and the roads too before we lost the good lift.

Most likely. But, You said there was almost no chance for yesterday’s a week ago too. Things can change fast as we just saw....for better or worse.

Did you see any snow? I know you thought you would? 2-3”? Or nada?

Some nice blocking up by Greenland there...perhaps a lil help from the Atlantic? It’d be nice for a change.

Who thought we’d be talking about any snow with this thing...so ya never know? Sure Would be nice. Maybe this thing(tmrws system) can get out of the way a lil quicker?

Lol, we don’t even know if this thing happens for anybody just yet...at least in SNE, it could go out to sea. Way Too early for who does better or worse. Could be just a cold rain for most still.

Hence why I mentioned the rates. But Like you said though..this is a nothing burger so really not much else to say.

We were busting your chops Minster....whoooosh. Ground warmth is a myth with good rates..you should know this by now.

Or sun angle too high...

Ya that NAM was a pipe dream. I’m fine with a whiff if it’s not gonna be interesting. We’ve had enough rain fir a while here.

I’ll take my 15.5” and run! Lol. Kind of like Feb 2010..when it was a full on blizzard in NYC...and everything Northeast was pouring rain. Except this gets more of western SNE as depicted. Very low probability of that..NAM is tripping as usual. Nonetheless entertaining.

Thanks for the explanation. I would assume that block adds even a lil more intrigue to the mix...would it be safe to assume that from that snapshot?