WinterWolf

Lol...this can be said for almost every year up here in SNE. Who knows, maybe we get surprised with a rogue storm that gets in here?? As we all know/and can remember, October can be volatile when it wants to be...

A lot of those other storms you mentioned would have probably been Cat 5’s too had they been able to survey them with today’s instruments and technology. I mean Andrew was always considered to be a Cat 4...then they upgraded it to a 5 when they analyzed the whole damage/catastrophe that was south Florida. So that tells me that many of those other Cat 4’s were probably stronger than they were thought to be too.

Lol you got one guy saying there hasn't been anything that strong in that part of the atlantic since 1989, and the other guy comes up with a Cane from 2010 that was as strong, and even farther east....what's 21 years among friends right??

TD has developed...expect it to become a tropical storm as early as later today, and a Hurricane later this week. Although it'll most likely go OTS/Recurve....so most likely no worries for the east coast lol. But it's early and you know the drill.

Now let's have that shoot just about Due North at 40 mph from that Position, and we're good!

Ohh ok...got it.

You mean 91-19 right? We haven't had winter 2020 yet...

But it’d have to come quite a ways west to impact the east coast in any way...no?? Which makes this pretty much a nothing burger for the U.S. currently...is that correct?

I was thinking the same. As Jim carry said....“So you’re saying there’s a chance.” But theres nothing else to track for Anthony...so all the power to him.

Don’t worry, We all have hobbies Tip...quite a few fun ones actually. Nobody here is clinically depressed due to benign/quiet weather. Some of us are Just throwing it out there, that it’s fun to track and converse about exciting weather that could/looks to impact our backyards. For the most part, most of us are on this site for the excitement of active weather developing, moving towards and impacting our areas. It’s as plain and simple as that. It doesn’t mean we don’t have other things to keep us busy one bit, it just means we enjoy the active times of weather, along with everything else in our lives.

Ok...I guess I’m cool with that too lol.

Agree!! Something like you said to break up the monotony of this boring time of year known as September...

Lol...yup the hype and drama of that one Euro run, when there might not have been enough time to get your sour milk and moldy bread.

Oh no ...not Bama again....???? Lol.

It never was/began lol.

Lol....exactly. Nothing! And I Mean Nothing gets up and in here that’s Tropical!! Next??

8-9 days away...can you really trust any output at this far of a lead??? i mean if you bet OTS ...you’re gonna be right 95% of the time, or more. So I guess that’s the way to lean.

Ya I agree. Chances are very low as we all know. But it’s a boring time of year for weather enthusiasts. I’ve never been a big fan of September. Summer trying to hang on, and autumn can’t quite get a grip on us yet...like you said, SOOO Boring!!

I think some of you are in a fantasy land when it comes to this stuff. I get the whole Drama/Dramatic idea, but in October 2011, Most of CT/lots of Interior SNE was without power for a Week to two weeks. It sucked. It wasn't fun, but it was not a Catastrophe, or a disaster of Epic proportions like we see in the Bahamas. There's not going to be a 38 redux with regard to Surprise like some seem to think. Heck, it'd be tough to get a storm of that magnitude up this way ever period...let alone on a surprise. Those days are long gone.

Don't you worry Wiz, there will be plenty of lead time for whatever materializes. Truly Big hits are so rare here, it's really not an issue around here. And with Social Media, and the internet now, the word gets out just fine. If this looks to be an issue, the news/internet/twitter/ etc etc will be buzzing.

Yes sir. Very appropriate timing.

I think anybody who is even remotely interested in Meteorology, and hasn't been living under a Rock for the last 30 years, would put this at a "Low Probability of it getting up the east coast to threaten the Northeast; even without considering all that you just mentioned. But your analysis just makes it that much more clear how little chance this has of getting up here.

Yup, that's why its such a low chance of a strike up here. Oh well, it was fun imagining the potential while it lasted lol.

Well we know they aren't the same...but the point remains not to trust any one depiction too much at this stage. Certainly an interesting development overnight...but buying in to something like this at this stage, is not prudent yet.

Lol...nice point!! Euro hasn't been all too good lately with regard to TC development.