WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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It’s been increasing each run though...so we take. I’ll take some freezing rain and sleet on December 1st..yes please.
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Thats the biggest GFS hit here yet...unless it’s mostly liquid, that’s a Very big hit.
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lol that’s almost a half year away...
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Looks reasonable as of now Wiz. Nice work.
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Albany put up Watches for their zones..litchfield county included. Box next?
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Ya..I thought the exact same thing. I’d put the 5-10 inches in the entire 84 corridor.. seems safe bet currently.
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Ya..I like our spot on all guidance currently.
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Oh absolutely. Lots of precip seems to be in the cards for us...we take. Fun tracking and exciting times for us this weekend. Enjoy pal. And A lil elevation never hurts too.
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Yup. It’ll be over here/most in CT before the sun comes up imo. Always go on the shorter range with these...that’s usually how it goes. If it lasts longer, then it’s an even nicer surprise.
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That could make things even worse with that sandwiched in there...
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I’m thinking pre dawn Hours it’s over for us in CT...out East obviously it lasts longer into Tuesday.
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This kind of reminds me of January 16 for the mid Atlantic...when the models pretty much honed in on NYC on south for the big hit. Every run they were in it. This seems to be doing Something similar, with the big amounts of qpf in western New England as a constant theme with each run....on multiple guidance.
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Ya..I was surprised to see that hanging tough? Usually that’s a mirage that never plays out...or goes away as we close in.
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I like where we stand back here with this currently.
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I’ll take the Crazy Uncles qpf idea here for sure...around 2” is no joke. Every model seems to have a healthy dose of qpf for this area...we take for sure. And if it’s mostly frozen like it looks to be currently...I’m great with what I see.
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Josh Cingranelli on NBC 30 This morning said they’re thinking mostly snow In CT away from the coast Now as the latest guidance is showing colder air..at least that’s their take currently. I’m sure when the lull hits it goes to drizzle/or ZR drizzle if below 32 obviously.
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Lol..you know Kevin...the take away from his post is it’s looking good, and looking long duration. Yup..no different than any Big Dog system. And if and how it slows down/or stalls is going to be critical.
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Banding and where it sets up is always the wildcard Wiz. And it can set up anywhere. I think the way it looks now...inland areas away from the water, are looking very good. If you get into the banding...sure you’re going to maximize your amounts More than those who don’t. Feb 13 we weren’t forecast to get into the banding....but we all know how that worked out. Point is, it’s very hard ahead of time to know where those features actually set up?
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Lol..that’s my point. It’s GFS derived I think, and it’s not up to date, and doesn’t make sense most times. It’ll catch up a few minutes before go time. Like I said...I don’t waste my time with it anymore unless the event is underway, and I just want to look at it for haha’s.
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That stupid crap is always behind and just pathetic. I never look at that anymore...unless we are 5 minutes from go time.
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Thanks Mike. Looks great for all of SNE.
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Any graphics for 6z GFS?
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That’s a great run for most of SNE..I’ll take my 15-16 inches on that and run.
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The Japanese make great cars...Weather models not so much.
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Oh for sure. That 5h is just gorgeous. Thanks for posting the graphics.
