WinterWolf

Thanks man. It’s just so early in this evolution. And so much to figure out. I mean look at Friday’s event…how that ran the gamut from soup to nuts..and in the end the sound meteorological ideas won the day for us, regardless of what modeling was trying to sell us. Sure this could cut/fail, but I’m not taking too much too seriously either way(good or bad for winter enthusiasts) until Saturday.

That’s slower too…

Agreed.

I’m not worried one bit Luke. I’ve seen them all today. I’ve learned to not get too caught up in model flip flops at 5-6 days out. That’s all there is to that. Let’s see where we stand by Saturday. If it’s cutting then..then we cut. But No worries now. I realize you’re just analyzing this particular run. It’s all good. I’m not buying it at the moment. That’s my stance.

Not this one lol.

Lol…and 24 hrs ago it was a complete whiff. And we had folks yesterday saying there was nothing going on. And that the Friday system was gonna screw the pooch for the rest of January. Which was more utter nonsense. I feel you’re reading too much into one run..at a ridiculous long lead time. But that’s just my opinion.

100% agree. This has an eternity to go. So many more model runs, the fragile ones will be hanging by Thursday night

Yes sir…this has many more transformations to go through.

At 5.5 days it sure can be ignored. There will be over a dozen and a half more runs showing something else before go time. Windshield wiper affect…

For now..it’ll bounce the other way by Thursday/Friday.

This!

It’s the GFS at 5 plus days out..enough said. Just another solution. It’ll do this for a few more runs, then start correcting the other way after that.

Yup, it was moving along decently. That was a great one. Funny, the 11th of January was a Tuesday in 2011, and today is the 11th of January, and it’s a Tuesday too in 2022, and it’s exactly 11tears later . Pretty cool.

Northern Maine does cold really well…I’ve been up there during some brutal cold, and have pictures of my truck thermometer at -32F. Truck makes noises like you’ve never heard before.

6 degrees.

Would be real nice…we can hope.

Hmm? Tip seems to think this “Could” slow down some as we go forward (obviously not a guarantee). And it’s potential area expansion could make it last longer due to that as well. But we all know that you don’t need a long duration storm to get big totals Luke. Ya just need rates. Who knows how this potential will play out? Could be a big dud, or rain on us. But At least it’s a great signal and something to track. Should be a fun 4 or 5 days of tracking upcoming at least.

Thats 10 pm Sunday night right? Really? That seems a lil early no?

What’s the timing on this at this point for SNE? I know the timing could slow down or speed up, being it’s quite far out at the moment. Are we talking It coming in Monday during the day?

Great points. Thanks. Love the great meteorology that you imploy. These are the important take-aways.

Sooo much time to go…just another solution. Euro goes flat to full Amp in one run..ya I don’t know? Days and days of modeling to go…there will be big changes going forward. I mean we still need to lose the storm..that’s coming in a couple days too.

Yup! Some of these posts from the usual suspects are just pathetic garbage. I mean they’re stressing on a potential that’s 6 days away. WTF?? Some folks need major help.

Isn’t that Monday deal leaning more towards later Monday and Tuesday now…which would probably be better due to the better space between systems?

Scooter fools a lot…to try and spoon up the Debbie’s….and it works for most all of them.

I’m always a lil confused by that stuff. When I look at the point and click, or any of the 7 day extended etc….and it shows for example: Mon: low 8/hi 18, Tue: low 6/hi 30, I think of it as the low is the lowest temp right before sunrise, and then the hi temp is whatever it got to that afternoon before it starts to drop off as the sun goes down. Maybe I’m looking at that incorrect? I don’t know. When these cheap hi’s occur at midnight and then it drops from there, that’s when those hi/lo’s can be confusing to me.