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WinterWolf

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  1. WinterWolf
    Very very interesting, and intriguing Wiz…I like the analysis you brought up. It’ll be very interesting how this all comes together.
  2. WinterWolf
    I think this doesn’t phase as proficiently as forecasted too….many times it never does/is less proficient than forecast. Let’s see how that shapes up the next couple days?
  3. WinterWolf
    I guess when you post a decent looking set up from a model, it gets criticized, when they already know the outcome for Monday, and that it won’t make a difference for us, and it’s snow to rain for SNE.
  4. WinterWolf
    Ya they’ve been atrocious lately. And week 3 and 4 are low skill. -PNA isn’t all bad(if it isn’t like December was), and if there’s cold nearby. Let’s see how the next 2.75 weeks of this month go first?
  5. WinterWolf
    By Sunday, this could look completely different than our first ideas from Tuesday of a bonafide Miller A as we know them. This thing seems to be mutating into something different.
  6. WinterWolf
    Fair enough Tip…it’s all good.
  7. WinterWolf
    I don’t know….you had things in there that this had been showing up out in the distance like 3/93 1/96 etc etc…. And Those were monsters. And that the precip field on this thing is gonna be so Expansive, that it could start quite a bit earlier than progged due to the size of the precip shield. That sounds like a monster to me. But maybe I got the wrong idea from your ideas?
  8. WinterWolf
    So, maybe that’s not exactly the way it will play out. If(the model) doesn’t make sense…something might be amiss?
  9. WinterWolf
    The Gladiator dammit!
  10. WinterWolf
    Still feel a moderate event is possible for most of SNE. If just one of those questionable parameters are off a bit, strength of shortwaves, timing, high to the north, this changes the outcome obviously. But Is this the monster it was touted a few days ago…no. It’s become(at least currently) much more tame.
  11. WinterWolf
    Ya that’s very reasonable imo. This is the problem with starting threads a week out…folks get down and beaten, and get storm fatigue before the big picture is even clear. That’s what’s happening here. Ya hate to see it. I agree with 45Spanks…gotta get this behemoth out if here tomorrow, before the Monday deal is figured out. At the risk of sounding repetitive…there is still a ways to go with this. I agree with you …Storm thread shouldn’t have been started until tomorrow/Saturday.
  12. WinterWolf
    Ya, I’m not thinking big snows, but the lead time is plenty ample since today is Thursday, and this is forecast for Monday. just like last Friday, I’ll be happy with 3-4”, and then let it freeze up. If it ends up being more like last week, great. Last week we were forecast for about 4” here by most outlets. It ended doubling the forecast. This has a 3-4 days left to go..whether that bodes well for us or not, I wouldn’t give up today on a potential moderate event.
  13. WinterWolf
    So that’s the GEFS mean? That looks great. So are we to believe that’s just fantasy? Or it’s the outlier..at the moment?
  14. WinterWolf
    The op euro is not all that good now…period. Not saying it’s always wrong, but it’s not anything like it used to be. Caves all the time like a wet piece of paper.
  15. WinterWolf
    Oh he used to scold me a couple years ago…but now he’s seen the truth too. It blows more than it doesn’t.
  16. WinterWolf
    Yup..been saying that since it happened. It’s atrocious last couple years, and getting worse.
  17. WinterWolf
    That’s a big jump east for that southern vort.
  18. WinterWolf
    Yup same here for me too..very informative. Appreciate it.
  19. WinterWolf
    We know how long that OP takes to respond…look at Fridays storm..it was the last model to come west.
  20. WinterWolf
    Maybe that shortwave was sampled a lil stronger?
  21. WinterWolf
    So, if the wave(southern stream) is stronger, it will be able to carry itself further east, before the potent northern stream dives into it, and stalls it out and turns it north? Am I visualizing that phasing scenario correctly?
  22. WinterWolf
    Maybe he meant the phase being weaker?
  23. WinterWolf
    And the significance of that time left, cannot be overstated.
  24. WinterWolf
    Ok, thanks for that clarification. That makes sense.
  25. WinterWolf
    That’s big, and that doesn’t look to bad to me.
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