WinterWolf

Great advice. He’s a very negative person lol.

Lol I might be…I was more talking about the longer range.

So safe to say it didn’t follow the OP??

How does it lose? Nothing has verified yet?

The EPS has trended toward the GEFS though the last two runs.

Good, that model blows.

Ya that’s why I said “some”. Thanks for the response 99.

Would you call that some cross polar flow? On both of those ensemble? Or do I not know what I’m looking at in that area?

Ya that looks half way decent…

It’s still coming off a bender.

Yup! I remember it well. Nobody took the JMA seriously obviously. Yes a crap pattern..and it was a monster. Central Park also got crushed.

We can hope right? I mean that’s a month plus off.

Feb 06 was a killer here…got 2 ft plus..it was awesome. It was gone in a week, but who cares when it crushes like that. Great storm here.

That’s what me and Ray have been saying…what gives with these off hr runs? We’ve said this for a couple yrs now, and it’s been met with “that is not the case anymore!” Well obviously it still is the case. And this is proof positive that it is still happening.

You were clear Jerry…we all knew what you meant.

Hope you feel better Kevin. Gorgeous out…thought of you as I wiped the truck down. Get well soon pal.

63 here now…we take. Gotta admit it Feels great. Taking advantage of the mildness and Washing the truck up.

I bet he could..I’ll look into that Luke. Thanks.

For the most part yes. But there are a few who do it constantly, and intentionally and to push a narrative. That’s where it rubs me wrong.

I absolutely don’t have a problem with dissenting points of view …AT ALL. I do have a problem, a BIG ONE, with trolling. I explained in detail, about how the pattern did a complete 180 from early November, and then the change of the pattern to very supportive for winter weather just last week. Just because it didn’t work out for us here in SNE, didn’t mean the pattern did not change. But that’s what the trolls were saying, and you were right in there with them, supporting them because we did not get snow here. That’s where I have a problem. And as Will said, there’s gonna be pushback when trolls don’t support their trolling ideas with anything of substance ….but go on persistence forecasting, or green grass in the town center, with geese hanging out and fighting with the crows. I mean c’mon already. I absolutely agree that it’s been a dud so far…but this happens many times in December, we know this. And it may stay a dud,(however I really don’t think so), but that’s far from a certainty, especially only a week in to this winter season in late December. I hope that clears things up on where I stand. I don’t have an issue with you or anybody. I just can’t stand the trolling, and persistent style of forecasting(it’s been bad so thus it will remain bad idea), with the trolling combined. If modeling doesn’t look good, by all means say it. But when it looks better or good, say that too. And don’t twist things to fit a specific narrative.

No, no…I like when you postulate. Trolls are what they are…and they’re gonna troll no matter what. It’s good to put things/thoughts backed up by credible science out there…that’s what this place is for. Keep it up. Nice job!

Careful Ray….1717, Qg and the like, will be in to scold and tell us nothing has changed, nor will it/or is it changing, and January is 3/4 gone..even though it’s still 12/30.

So I take it this is a relatively good thing?

I was just thinking that too….it’s like clockwork. I don’t know how they can say such nonsense, when the off hour runs always go awry. They are awry when there is a big system imminent, and they’ll show it going out to sea, or some other disaster. And then like this at longer leads, they show a storm when the on hour runs show nothing. But hey, that’s no longer the case right? When we can plainly see that it surely is.

Don’t encourage him…he acts foolish enough already at times. We don’t need a thread for this one.