See, this is where you and anybody else who thinks I’m ACATT, is completely wrong on my take.
I certainly am not all cold all the time. What I don’t like, is when a model shows a warm look 4 plus weeks into the future, and people just accept it…And say well it happened last year, so it’ll most likely happen again this year. And legitimately whine like babies, and cancel a whole month 3 weeks before said month even arrives lol. So ya, I push back against that. Not because I have ACATT goggles on, but because it defies logic.
December may very well end up warmer than average(El Nino). Or It may not. It may not snow at all in December. Or we may get a nice event or two, maybe even despite being AN in the end. We honestly just don’t know at this juncture. So I choose not to put all my eggs into the no snow/no cold basket for December on 11/9, based off the Euro weeklies that are notoriously bad past 3 weeks. But that’s just me. No denial. No BS. Just think it’s too early to know what December will end up like on November 9th.
And putting a wager on something like that would make zero sense 4-5 weeks out. Again, it would just be a random guess either way you wager at this lead time.