Spartman

Tweet from yesterday:

25 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

cloudy and damp with light rain the next two days will prevent  any real soil moisture recovery

 

..then only a few days of true drying out before the possible weekend rains and wetter pattern 

 

 

 

Even in the long range, looks like the second half of this May is going to be a washout.

1 hour ago, cyclone77 said:

Won't have to run the A/C till June this year lol.

If not July. Just one of those years.

29 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

The euro is cutting off the eastern upper low farther west every run.

GFS, as well. Both 00z runs linger it through near the end of next week.

The warmup that is supposed to start tomorrow looks to be short-lived. Get ready to write off next week. Right after the weekend is over, models are hinting an Omega Block setting up with a cutoff low over the region lingering through near the end of next week. The latest GFS run is showing highs in the lower 60s for Monday through Tuesday followed by highs in the 50s Wednesday, and back to the 60s on Thursday through Friday of next week.

For example, next Wednesday on the latest 00z GFS:



Meanwhile, the latest Euro run shows highs in the lower 60s Monday, 50s on Tuesday through Wednesday, and back to the 60s on Thursday through Friday of next week before warming back up next Saturday.

For example, next Wednesday on the latest 00z Euro

Yesterday:
 

000
SXUS71 KILN 112316
RERCVG

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
716 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2020

...RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT CINCINNATI...

A RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 49 DEGREES WAS
REPORTED AT THE CINCINNATI NORTHERN KENTUCKY INTERNATIONAL
AIRPORT ON MAY 11. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 51 DEGREES WHICH
WAS SET IN 1960.

The last time CVG had a day to fail reach 50 degrees in May was on May 5, 1992. (Followed by the unusually cold and wet summer due to the 1991 Pinatubo eruption)

000
SXUS71 KILN 112323
RERDAY

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
723 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2020

...RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT DAYTON...

A RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 49 DEGREES WAS
REPORTED AT THE DAYTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ON MAY 11. THIS
BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 50 DEGREES WHICH WAS SET IN 1966, 1963,
AND 1960.

The last time DAY had a day of failing to reach 50 degrees in May was just 3 years ago on May 5, 2017.

000
SXUS71 KILN 112329
RERCMH

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
729 PM EDT MON MAY 11 2020

...RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE SET AT COLUMBUS...

A RECORD DAILY LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE OF 45 DEGREES WAS REPORTED AT
THE JOHN GLENN COLUMBUS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ON MAY 11. THIS BREAKS
THE OLD RECORD OF 46 DEGREES WHICH WAS SET IN 1966.

The last time CMH had a day of failing to reach 50 degrees in May was twice in 2011: May 3, 2011 and May 16, 2011 

Today:

000
SXUS71 KILN 121638
RERCVG

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1238 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2020

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT CINCINNATI...

A RECORD DAILY LOW TEMPERATURE OF 33 DEGREES WAS REPORTED AT THE
CINCINNATI NORTHERN KENTUCKY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AT 6:33 THIS
MORNING. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 34 DEGREES WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1938.

000
SXUS71 KILN 121640
RERDAY

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1240 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2020

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT DAYTON...

A RECORD DAILY LOW TEMPERATURE OF 34 DEGREES WAS REPORTED AT THE
DAYTON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AT 3:51 THIS MORNING. THIS BREAKS THE
OLD RECORD OF 35 DEGREES FOR MAY 12TH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY SET IN
1996 AND 1938.

000
SXUS71 KILN 121636
RERCMH

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1233 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2020

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE SET AT COLUMBUS...

A RECORD DAILY LOW TEMPERATURE OF 31 DEGREES WAS REPORTED AT THE
JOHN GLENN COLUMBUS INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 6:46 THIS MORNING. THIS
BREAKS THE OLD RECORD FOR MAY 12TH OF 35 DEGREES WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1976.

1 minute ago, cyclone77 said:

Yellowstone?

Or 1992 all over again?

FMA came in with 0.5C. JFM is now 0.6C. 2019-2020 is officially another El Nino season.

First 80-degree day of the year today as temps overperformed to reach 83. Likely the warmest we'll get for this month unless things approve during the second half of this month as what Crankyweatherguy has been suggesting. 

Ended up as the first April since 2016 to be dry and the first dry month since last November.

12 hours ago, madwx said:

May 3-10 or so looks like it could be very cool for the time of year, especially in the eastern part of the subforum

Bring on the May 1997 analog! 

Ended up hitting 70 for the first time in more than 2 weeks before it became completely overcast. No more 70s until sometime next month. 

2 hours ago, cyclone77 said:

Finished with 0.44".  Not all that far away at DVN they only picked up 0.05".  Pretty steep gradient along the northwest fringe, like so many winter events.  

So far, DAY only got 0.01" so far from this soaker, but more to come from it throughout tomorrow afternoon.

2 hours ago, Snowstorms said:

It's been surprisingly dry. A dry April was bound to happen at some point especially when you consider the last few April's. I believe 2018 was the wettest April on record. 

Sucks we couldn't cash in a couple more cm's in March and April. YYZ fell short of 140cm by 0.8cm. 

Won't end up dry due to the upcoming soaker this weekend and a cutoff low around the end of the month. This April is currently at 2.45" for the month as of today. Haven't had a dry April here since 2016. Cincinnati, on the other hand, hasn't had a dry April since 2013.

36 minutes ago, Snowstorms said:

Looks like this will be the first time since 1993 that YYZ has failed to hit 70F before May. This has only happened 14 times since 1938 (when records began). The latest date ever was May 19, 1978. < No thank you. 

Meanwhile in DAY, it will be the first time since 2015 we have failed to hit 80F before May. This has happened 35 times since records began in 1893. The latest date for an 80-degree day ever was June 5, 1983, the only year ever there were no 80-degrees the entire spring.

Today was the sunniest day it is going to be for this month. It will likely be the last dry day for the rest of the month.

The last time Dayton had both at least a slightly cold April and May was in 2016, which was followed by a hot summer. Recent years prior to that were 1997, 1996, 1995, 1992, 1990, 1989, 1984, and 1983. Only 3 of those years (1995, 1989, and 1983) with a cold April and May were followed by a hot summer. Four of those years (1997, 1992, 1990, and 1984) with a cold April and May were followed by a cold summer. A cold April and May in 1996 was followed by a near normal summer.

This was the first completely dry weekend in over a month.

1 hour ago, Powerball said:

I'm just going to leave this here for purposes. 

It was being discussed over at SouthernWX for what owuld also be an historic severe weather outbreak for the Southeast US.

 

 

 

April 2018 redux, approved by Joe Bastardi! 

Dayton had its 14th wettest March on record with sunshine during the month at only 20%. Not only did Columbus have its second wettest March on record, but also tied the record most number days in March with measurable precipitation of 20 days previously set in 2004.

Columbus' Top 5 Wettest Marches
1. 9.59" - 1964
2. 8.16" - 2020
3. 8.09" - 1913
4. 8.08" - 1945
5. 7.66" - 1921

Based on what the Euro and GFS have been hinting lately, may as well go for the top 10 wettest Marches on record. As of Friday, Columbus has reached the 6th wettest March on record.

Cincinnati's Top 10 Wettest Marches:
1. 12.18" - 1964
2. 10.94" - 1945
3. 9.91" - 1963
4. 9.89" - 1897
5. 9.67" - 2008
6. 9.09" - 1913
7. 8.43" - 1907
8. 8.17" - 1904
9. 8.00" - 1933
10. 6.93" - 1939

Dayton's Top 10 Wettest Marches:
1. 8.89" - 1913
2. 8.65" - 1945
3. 7.90" - 1904
4. 7.65" - 1964
5. 7.41" - 1921
6. 6.98" - 2008
7. 6.80" - 1963
8. 6.28" - 1938
9. 6.00" - 1907
10. 5.99" - 1989

Columbus' Top 10 Wettest Marches
1. 9.59" - 1964
2. 8.09" - 1913
3. 8.08" - 1945
4. 7.66" - 1921
5. 7.58" - 2008
6. 7.15" - 2020 (as of 3/20)
7. 7.14" - 1963
8. 7.03" - 1898
9. 6.68" - 2007
10. 6.03" - 1908

Second Saturday in a row with wall-to-wall overcast skies, but highs stuck in the low to mid-30s. Suicide weather.

Ended up with the first 70-degree day of the year before the strong cold front swept through in the afternoon.

46 minutes ago, IMADreamer said:

Still light/moderate rain here and over cast.  Going to have to clear out and warm up fast I think for anything to get going now. 

Forecast high is in the upper 60's, but expected the warm-up to occur by midnight tonight.