dilly84
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Everything posted by dilly84
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Already snowing in canton, per my cousin. So it's definitely arrived much sooner. Models didn't have snow in Central Ohio til 4 or so.
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I dont lol. I think you see at least 3 or 4". Didn't you used to live in newark?
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Snowing in Zanesville already, per report.
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Hi res models have it. Shouldn't effect us. Someone smarter than me, could we some thundersnow? Seems like conditions would be ripe for it.
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Final. Obvious hoping for over performance in the 2-4 - 4-6" area, but models aren't showing it. I just feel like the moisture shield isn't far enough west based on the low position. All we can do now is watch and hope there isn't a massive dry slot.
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Literally looks like an apps runner, which is normally perfect for Central Ohio. BUT, I digress. May have to drop my totals a tad. I have a feeling it'll over perform, but based on 12z models so far it appears it's the moisture part is weaker. 981mb low setting in State College I'd think we'd be get hammered on models but.. here we are. If this image doesn't frustrate you, nothing will lol.
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That's what it looks like. Low riding the coast, then the low moves further inland at hr 21 from Philadelphia to Gettysburg then moves north through State College.
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So far nam and rgem have shifted the heavier precip slightly east. Nam has me on the 8" line still, but barely. Rgem has moved me to the 4" range. What is frustrating is we have about a perfect low placement for a huge snow in Central Ohio. I gotta question if the qpf is being underdone in spots like over towards CMH.
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We'll see. I hate putting anything over 8" cause we always get burned in Ohio lol. Snowing on radar not reaching ground type crap lol
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First call. Will probably need adjustments east or west in the morning. Trends tonight were bumps west. Tight gradients make for ugly maps lol.
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Hrdps looks great. Think it's hi res version of the rgem. Rgem seems to be underdoing qpf.
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Impossible. Where that low is placed we'd get pummeled in Central Ohio. That model makes no sense.
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7.2"
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For where?
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Never been. I was in coshocton. Been at apple valley(near Mount vernon) for 6 years.
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Same here. That'd put me a little higher. I love the look of the hrrr. Just doesn't have the precip far enough west compared to where the low is. I'll say this someone in central Ohio is gonna get 10" hrdps for what it is actually makes the most sense with where the low is compared to moisture. It and the nam.
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12z nam hammers. While gfs at 6z whiffed. Waiting 12.
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Both are only good inside 12hrs imo. Extremely short range models. However, it is concerning that all the short range models basically whiff all of ohio outside of like 2". Fv3, hrrr, wrf are all bad for us. But I don't trust any of them outside of 6-12 hrs.
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Went from 1 at 6z to 9 at 12z and 3 at 18z
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Shield was definitely se of where it was at 0 and 6z. They've come back a bit west today, just used to being burnt here. Gets aggravating.
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Game over.
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Yup I said earlier after 12z it was easy to see where this was going. Everywhere BUT ohio will get a decent storm out of this.
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The low on the GFS actually appears to be further west than yesterday, but the precip shield on the back isn't nearly as far north.
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Calling it now, miss sw. NW trend is done and the trend back SW begins. As I said a few days ago, ready for the torch already.
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Been snowing here fir about an hour. Grounds covered. Nothing on radar.
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