dilly84
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Everything posted by dilly84
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Brings the low right through se ohio. Lol. That'd be our luck. It says no snow and no freezing rain, you'll take your sleet and like it.
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Nam is a sleetfest on not on round 1, but also round 2. Just not buying that. Not at all.
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Yep. Sticking to its 12z. No further south. This is why I hate Southern forming winter systems. Too hard to forecast and a difference of 10 miles makes all the difference. Hrrr sucked too unless you're north of 71.
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I wouldn't worry yourself with totals as I think it'll be at least 8" or more. This is a pick your poison type ordeal. Get a foot or risk getting zr
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We are 48hrs out from the start. I wanna see the cmc cave.
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Agree. Now if euro looks like Canadian, we could have an issue. I'm hoping it comes back to its solution from a couple days ago as it was more in line with the gfs.
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There is, really. Canadian decided to become an outlier today. Ukie still looks good
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Guess it's gonna be gfs vs cmc. It's a whiff for almost everyone.
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Idk how reliable it is, it's a short range hi res model, but I've not followed it a bunch. I just loved the way the system looked on that run.
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Fv3 looks crushing.
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Agree. Kinda odd it didn't really show up on the clown maps. Looks more like a 10 mile shift on there but other parts of the run looked pretty significant compared to 6z.
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My concern is the differences models show where the rn/sn line sets up is pretty big between them. GFS is best case but you still have the nam and rgem still pretty far north of it. Can't really see the euro, and the cmc is a bit north of the gfs as well. I'm anxiously awaiting 12z runs. Hoping nam comes in line with the gfs this run
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It's really a win for 80% of the sub forum. Think it's best case for everyone. I'm rooting for it.
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I've tried to hold in excitement since 6z runs lol. Very rare potential for us. Like a once every 20 year event. Hard to not get excited seeing the runs. Even the amount shown will be underdone in areas where the heaviest bands set up. Can see someone get some 2" an hour rates for a time with this.
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Don't want it much more se. The heavy stuff on this run is now even se of me in knox county. Maybe 30-40 miles to feel safe. Like always still concerned with a nw shift.
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Icon a tad nw. These 20 to 30 mile shifts are gonna be a pain to forecast.
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Still long range for the NAM, the key here is that it's trending like the others. I think 0z tonight will give us a good idea of what's happening.
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Eh, agree to an extent. On my page I clearly put where I think the snow and ice would be based on all models, not just one. As today, every model but one came SE. I dont think that's an error. An error would be if one went se and the others remained or went nw. But I digress. I think we'll have good handle by 12z tomorrow(I hope). Only 2 days out.
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Hard to keep the bias out. If you go look at the storm thread, most believe it'll trend back nw. Why is that their thinking? Mostly because it benefits their own back yard snow-wise. The gem went a little north, but all the others went south of where they were at 0z. Interested to see if euro keeps the nw trend or of it corrects back se.
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12z ukie on par with 0z.
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The icon model remained south of previous runs as well. It's either a trend or they're all just blips.
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Ukie same. And nam has moved significantly south. Love it.
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Fwiw, the icon went significantly south too. Hopefully a trend. Rgem, however also went a bit north. Let the games begin. Be curious to see the 12z see if it holds.
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Hopefully tomorrow we see the se engine rumble. But I know our luck we can't get lucky and get 20-30" there's a reason we never do.
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Pretty much stayed same. Gem was well south. Rain snow line on most were south based on my location and such. 0z NAM pretty much takes everyone out of the snow game lol
