dilly84
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Everything posted by dilly84
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Idk, depends on if you're basing your forecast on the location of the low or the strength of the low overpowering the high. We all know WAA is a killer around here but not usually in a setup like this. For example... on the GEM the low makes it from central KY to Wheeling yet stays snow further southeast than the GFS who's low was further south and never really comes close to Wheeling. That alone makes little sense to me. Maybe someone more knowledgeable can explain it.
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Gem gives a band of 11-15" across central ohio just north of i70
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Was horrible. 2" for you
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GFS and ICON essentially carbon copies. The low on the nam gets closer than both those models but dont show the rain like these two.
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That's the thing hes got it all snow the whole time in marion and says max of 5-8". Makes no sense to me. Edit: he must be going gfs lol
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But he literally made no sense. He said it's a decent setup but not one that can give a high snow amounts. Go to nbc4 Facebook and watch it. Was flabbergasted that he flat out said it's not possible to get more than 8" and to essentially ignore any weather that says otherwise. As someone who gets paid to inform the public it seems irresponsible to make bold claims that this won't be massive. When some models show otherwise.
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Storm team 4 met David Mazza prediction 3-5" with a max of 5-8 more north. Says any model showing more than 8 is wrong lol
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Oh I know. Itd be close to 20" of snow.
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Icon is going to absolutely pummel I70 and north. Higher winds as well. Would be a full blown blizzard assuming it stayed snow
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I even went and looked at kuchera maps to make sure I didnt miss something like zr lol.
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What are you looking at? Lol has 8-12 almost all the way to Ohio river
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Ptype maps still showed mixing issues. And I'll be honest, it kind of worries me that many are showing it. While I like the position of the low, the fact they're showing mixing issues tells me they know something I dont.
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Fv3 further north again. Let's get this thing sampled already. Lol
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Usually that track is perfect. Never gets further than that and goes east through southern ky. Should be perfect but isn't. I'm sticking with ptype issues from the models. Makes little sense to have cold air rushing in with a low in southeast ky and still raining.
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Icon similar to 12z takes low to KY then redevelops in VA. Same ptype issues though where it brings thunderstorms which buckeye and I was talking about earlier not thinking that's correct.
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I'm cle.
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Something that isn't being discussed much is that many models are showing windchills of up to -30 in the wake of the storm. So throwing this up here
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Same here. 3-7" playing it safe with the wide spread amount
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18z NAM doesn't look bad, never really deepens but gives a solid 8"
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Yea you're correct. Wasn't taking into account the Friday. But that also means euro is giving from i70 west basically 2-3" Saturday
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Yea but you're like me. I'd rather take the risk of amped up than not at all. In your case, you look good according to wxbell snow map for close to a foot. I'd take that in a heartbeat. The older I get the less I could care about 4 or 5 inches lol.
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I'm different lol. It gives me around 5". I'd rather have nothing. Give me something big with this setup or nothing at all. 4-5" is what I call hassle snow. Enough to have to go shovel but nothing to really be impressed with
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I mean from the 10-12" it quickly drops off.
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Take your pick. 3 models epic storm, euro, decent but nothing special.
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Edit:buckeye is right about 25: miles south of last nights. Nearly takes cmh out of heavy snow. Takes me out of it for sure. Line from Cincinnati to Pitt down to Athens 10-12". North of that it quickly drops off.
