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dilly84

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Everything posted by dilly84

  1. Yes, but the 3k was about 2mb weaker and the low is in south central KY. Because of that I'd guess the 12k was overly ramped. BUT, I'd rather have the 12k where it is 3 days out than the low to be cutting through Columbus lol
  2. any predictions on the gfs? Does it cave this afternoon or does it stay north?
  3. Im not too concerned with the NAM. Biggest thing is that it was significantly stronger. A couple mb higher and r/s line is less likely to reach i70. Still appeared to be near a perfect run. And the storm is being sampled now. Hope we dont see too many wobbles after today's runs.
  4. People ask me all the time why I didnt go to meteorology school, I always tell them look at the Mets that struggle to find jobs as it is. Great field if you can find work in it. Unfortunately its not an easy task.
  5. 6z was pretty much perfect. I kinda like 12z better. More risk better rewards lol
  6. It definitely puts you on the line, but it does the same with Columbus and Cincinnati here as well.
  7. Makes it to southern Franklin and licking. That's it.
  8. Not much. .2 for you, but had you with a brief period of rain. So the strength got the rain snow line to licking county never any further north as noted by the snow total map I'll post.
  9. Perfect track. Low goes from central KY to the tip of southern Ohio then over to near Morgantown. Can't ask for a better run than that.
  10. Puts a nice band of 10-12" all across Ohio from Cincinnati to Steubenville and north. Curious though about ratios with that cold air coming in.
  11. You work for any field offices?
  12. Very tiny tick. But the rain/snow line makes it closer to i70 but never gets there. Exhale lol. It's also much stronger. 996mb in central KY this run compared to 1001mb on 6z
  13. 12z NAM is around 25 miles south with the surface low at 48. Good sign. Rather it be a tick south than moving north.
  14. I think we're all collectively holding our breaths for today's runs knowing the storm is now being sampled lol. I know I'm a tad nervous.
  15. 6z nam sure is a thing of beauty
  16. Yep. Mainly because lows are similar, outcomes way different.
  17. Euro looks great. Has some good winds as well.
  18. Might as well add that the NAVGEM has a 999mb low near Morgantown
  19. I'd agree but purple on top of it would be sleet lol
  20. Makes no sense.. I'll just give up trying to understand it.
  21. Remember that line I said? Cincinnati to Lisbon lol. Now go look at the ptype. Majority of that all the way to Knox county would be sleet and zr lol
  22. Hey Jim, read above and explain my question. You're probably one of the most intelligent on this board maybe you can answer. Was the longer post
  23. Fv3 gonna do the same as the GFS? Low in NW Arkansas at hr 60, but can already see where the rain snow line will set up it appears. I'll guess a line from Cincinnati to Lisbon. I mean I dont wanna look stupid, but I just can't make sense of where some of these models show the low, yet not much snow with em.
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