The 4 Seasons
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Everything posted by The 4 Seasons
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I actually agree with this, curious to see the rest of the 12Z suite though. Still don't think we'll see anything like this on the ECMWF, probably more like a bump up.
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does that surprise you, it's the NAM
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It begins just after midnight NW, predawn for most, ends about noon or so, per NAM
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Zonked out clown map
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NAM definitely looks better than 00/06Z runs. Quite a bit juicer and transitioning to snow faster. FWIW...
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Going back in the archives and producing maps for past events that i haven't done. Any requests for any CT storms and i'll take a look...if there is enough data ill do it!
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18Z EC was much better than 12Z but 12Z was also pretty damn dry. We still have a ways to go with this one, i'm not holding my breath for this type of setup. When we get inside 72 or better yet 60 hrs ill feel better if these type of solutions hold up. We are still at 90 hrs per 18Z ECMWF for snow to start flying.
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I wasn't entirely happy with the first cut of the storm totals map, aesthetically and accuracy wise. I missed that 2.7 in Northern New London county and falsely included it in the 3-6" range. I've also added a few more reports and changed the Enfield # to 17" @CTValleySnowMan Here's the latest update, probably the last too.
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Another 3-6 in the mountains of S VT in the same areas that picked up 2ft+. Ski season off to a good start.
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oh thank god
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I'm going to go with a B- for the state of Connecticut. Ranges were fine, southern ct, sw ct and w ct verified fine. Should have went with a S to N gradient instead of SE to NW and added a 12-18 to the north.
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Inland Monster :::UPDATE:::
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i imagine there are issues with depth measurements vs adding 1+2 (parts)
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could be worse, could be @dendrite dead last with less than an inch...if thats real.
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+3.4 I would like to be a part of this... (per the website) Need a login/pw set up
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@dryslot I was told this one is not as accurate but the color coding is so much easier on the eyes. I just think it's easier to read and see the snow depth at a glance rather than squinting and referring back and forth to the legend.
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Same thing for BDR. The PNS says 2.1 but the CLI says 2.8 (.7+2.0+0.1). I went with the CLI in this case because i know thats correct
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Funky looking but this is it, the final snowfall map for CT, entire storm vs. FX. Any additions or corrections let me know. Source: PNS & AMWX
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oh, ok. I thought you meant most as in, the non-accumulating front and back end light snow thats just mood snow. That's still impressive, 7" in the 3 hours. I wonder what this will fall in on the NESIS or RSI scale. Probably a 1 or 2 at the most as there were no major cities involved but still a very widespread area of 10+
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Wow you averaged at over 3"/hr for 3 hours? That's impressive, it's not hard to get a rate of 3"/hr for short bursts in heavy banding like i did last night for 10-20 minutes but to average that over 3 hours is something. 17" and you were under a winter weather advisory lol. 8-13" forecast with an advisory is ridiculous. Did you change over at all to sleet/zr?
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how much did you get
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Thanks, well here it melted. id say its still a snow cover but its half green, lots of blades of grass showing through everywhere. streets and driveways are dry.
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I'm working on it now @Ginx snewx Bascially went back on the last 10 pages when the storm stopped used those numbers, now i go through the 3 PNS statements, and thats more than enough points of data for this storm. Takes about 1.5 hours or so
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This helps, thank you
