paulythegun

On 9/20/2026 at 12:48 AM, Jebman said:

There is a possibility that a tropical system near Baja California might develop into a Cat 3 Hurricane.

I want a high end Cat 5, then all the moisture hits Texas. I crave for unprecedented moisture feeds from off the deep tropical Pacific and the Gulf of Mexico, plus my precious Caribbean Connection!

I want catastrophic amounts of rain! I have an Ark. I'll be taking real time water level readings.

I'd like to see at least 45 feet of water over the 1626/967 Intersection!

BRING IT ON, SUPER NINO!

I'm so pleased that I logged in for the first time all year. 

*nerd voice*

EXTRAPOLATING. EXTRAPOLATING

Once you pass March 15th, clownmaps are permissible on the Medium/Long Term thread going forward through October.

Busts happen. There's nothing to learn here. The important thing is that we keep posting through it. Always

we could see gusts up to 35mph tonight

Severe sucks. Don’t want anyone losing their house or their life. I track it to stay busy, but I hate it. Would be okay with no severe ever again.

Are we expecting the coastal to take over, bomb, and then meander northwest (inland) before it occludes? 

Snowing moderately into filthy puddles in downtown DC

NAM pummels richmond and points southeast

IAD sounding, 12z. warm later above a very shallow cold layer at 900mb or so. Subtract a few degrees across the board and it's a sleet sounding

upports some sleet mixing in

Today, the atmosphere is dumping a cooler full of ice onto the hot pavement

The European Ensemble is very excellent at short term anafront prediction

1 hour ago, BristowWx said:

It will be a universal miss.  Not doom casting but precip chasing cold.  We know better.  

It seems like the 3 hour window when snow might be falling is roughly noon to 3pm, which is some bad luck for sure....

FV has a snow sandwich where the bread is the warm ground on one side and the sun angle on the other

Full. Anafrontal. Nudity.

Some nutty stuff here

FV has this line setting up directly over the city for a few hours

Is this an anafront? Or just a weak wave riding the boundary?

ITS ALIVE

What happened to all the glorious snow maps that were being posted the last couple days? Gone poof? Does that mean its over? No silly snow maps, so no chance of a storm? Fucking dead in here. Looking at you [mention=16767]Weather Will[/mention]
The answer ofc is no. The h5 pattern largely looks the same, so potential remains. Devil is in the details- meaning, as usual, wave timing, interplay, and spacing. Sure its not a high probability given climo, but its silly to geek out over day 8-10 day snow maps then disappear when they go poof. Have some sticktoitiveness ffs.

Not perfect but not a bad window.

9 hours ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Bruh what/when was this from? Hahaha

Facebook post from some Facebook Met from like 2013. This was their winter forecast hahah