burgertime

Euro EPS  tracks the low just off the coast. 

Euro EPS looking good out to 114. It has the low south of the OP run. 

Just now, PackGrad05 said:

The OP runs are definitely amped.  Ensembles best to look at.

Yea this thing has been jacked on practically all models.  Still waiting on CMC. ENC folks are gonna be rooting hard for the UK Met. 

1 minute ago, PackGrad05 said:

We are focused on snow, but even central NC would get sleet/ice with the cold surface temps (if the wedge is as strong as forecasted).  

Someone needs to look at that Jan/Feb 2008 storm I believe it was. Got lots of snow with ZR/sleet and especially heavy sleet for 30 minute to an hour at a time when rates couldn't overcome the warm air. No matter what trends say this is a big dog. 

Just now, Lookout said:

A modest event here of around a foot of snow and a nice bit of freezing rain in between 

You're owed a good foot at least. Let's hope it keeps it up for you. Rooting for that solution. 

It looked pretty close to the GFS to me. Stays a little further south and gets the job done but ENC gets robbed due to all that WAA. 

Look at this. 

Congrats to WNC on this run. 

Low looked to be taking a good track ... but it's caved to the GFS on this run.

@123 snow breaking out around NC/SC border. Some WAA with this system. 

Ya'll gonna like the Euro! @120 at least for it's rejection of the GFS. It's got the low tracking over the northern panhandle of FL. 

Already closed off. 

Out to 108 and Euro looks well south of GFS 

Euro is out to 54. So far no big differences. Energy looks slight stronger to the west with a little higher of a ridge out west compared to it's 00z run. 

5 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

National Guard needs to be on standby if the Euro is a dud/way too amped. Haven't been this excited/queasy before a Euro run in years.

We'll get the crisis hotline setup... 

19 minutes ago, Beach Snow said:

is the Canadian stuck?

Been stuck at 105 for awhile now for me. 

Just now, franklin NCwx said:

Should be a good run

 

Thats extremely close to March 2009. Except we have colder air to work with. 

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

at 114 much more of a neutral to negative tilt with the energy over MS compared to GFS at same time frame. Damn

I'm still stuck at 99. For some reason SV maps always have these big delays on the CMC and UK Met. 

1 minute ago, jrips27 said:

12z GEFS panels. 

That looks pretty damn good. All eyes on the Euro now. 

CMC looks really interesting to me. It also looks like it's doing a better job of seeing how that LP is sucking in the cold air to the north. Only out to 99 on my maps but has potential for sure. 

1 minute ago, olafminesaw said:

GEFS looks Great. Less amped than the GFS, but a solid hit for all NC

Hot off the presses 

1 minute ago, ILMRoss said:

Not too sound too wish-casty but I always feel like there's a couple of "ah! omg! the GFS amps things up and turns things north up to coast!" hysteria runs before it falls back to earth. Not dismissing concerns but I'm not incredibly concerned yet. 

ahaha we've been burned by it. But you made a very good point. If we lock in that HP then the NW trend probably won't be a concern. 

CMC has a 1036 high anchored in the right spot if it can stick. Like @ILMRoss said if thats around that should have a bigger impact. 

Just now, rduwx said:

I peaked at the old black and whites and it appears to be a WNC special also.  LP tracks slightly inland like the 12z gfs.  Hopefully better maps will give more detail.

Yea I'm only out to 87 but it looks like it's probably gonna track that direction. It's closed off before the GFS though which could make things interesting.