CTP talks about drought in tonight’s discussion (along with HI near 100 a few days):
“Overall, very little rainfall is fcst through the weekend which /given the hot & dry days/ could lead to a further rate of change acceleration of D0 drought conditions over the CWA on a week over week basis. Last week, there was a ~30% increase in D0 conditions mainly over the northern third of the CWA. Heat peaks Sat into Sun with Heat Index values approaching 100F over the SE each afternoon before temps fall back closer to normal by Tuesday.“
That heats gotta get here at some point. My parents have had 37 iirc days over 100 now. 107 today, no day below 103 in their 10 day. It was 98 Saturday, first day in 2 weeks ot wasn’t 100+ I believe.
That’s not remotely normal, even for Texas.
Looking and more and more like a potential 10+ day stretch of 90+. Hell it might last two weeks. The edge seems to let that hot Midwest air here with no escape.
Think maybe that little disturbance up near CT killed the shear we had earlier and stabilized our region mostly. Maybe we didn't get enough afternoon heating to reamp it north of say Rt 30 and east of 81.
That's not what'll pop storms for us. We're looking a little later - roughly 5 to 9 pm for activity to pop, It'll be hit or miss type stuff moreso than last night I thiiiiink.