dryslot
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Everything posted by dryslot
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You have to stay that way, Nobody has any control over it, Let it play out, Some have been hoping for an event for just a few inches, A lot of time left here and we don't need drastic changes for a better outcome, Patience. -
12 hours reading this board is like a soap opera, I didn't even read the last 10 pages and could of called all the post.
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Its just delayed the development and its further east because of holding back that s/w this run, Take that with a grain of salt.
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I wonder if some still hold the same thoughts from when 12z run came out about the Nam?
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Someone should have release the anchor on that southern s/w instead of an improper set and its dragging in the silt.
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Well, I've stated my stance on getting gulf lows to track where its needs to be for up here, And these last few cycles are clearly playing out to it, Could it change? Sure, And some can say what they want and call up storms that have worked out, But if its snowing in DC-Philly-NY, Its generally not snowing in NNE of any significance just facts, We'll continue to watch modeling over the next couple days, But the window is closing for a HECS and that's for up here, Moderate is still on the table.
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We've already seen this process on a couple other storms and it ended up being real so don't doubt it.
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That created a problem this run, 0z it was there but the slp stayed closer to the forcing west.
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Personally, Your areas in the best spot with some just to the west of there if had to pick a place.
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I bet others don't share your interpretation of this run.
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Still a good hit from BOS south to SEMA into RI.
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That convective blob is stretching out the slp to the east some.
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Someone needs to keep the sideways UK maps away from ant as he cant turn his head that far to interpret them, The 12z ukie moved quite a bit west of 0z.
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That has been the key, But also the track being more east-west if it doesn't for here back to you Brian and Phinn, Where this closes off and where it track once that happens, How far east before it does, Is crucial for something more then pedestrian, We just keep monitoring for now, Still a lot of time left.
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Still being 3 days out, And this has slowed down some, You can't take anything off the table but that GFS run was not far from something better.
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The northern stream is actually what saved its bacon here.
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And for the folks that care, 12z Icon came a good bit west of 06z
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Yeah, It looked better at H5 later but i'll tell you what, That is close to ending up like the euro and were not talking a whole lot of changes for that to happen either especially if it P\U that s\w sooner in the south.
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GFS made up some serious ground late but ends up a tic or two east of 06z but that's a bomb.
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Good thing the northern stream is going towards that s/w in NM.
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It has not been good and is somewhat better the last 36hrs in and i've seen times even 24hrs or less it catches on.
