Jump to content

dryslot

Members
  • Posts

    60,700
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by dryslot

  1. I'm always onboard with an overrunning event up here, We do well in them generally speaking.
  2. Not typical for models to pick up on that feature this far out, Usually its when we get closer to the event.
  3. 1040mb+ should push the boundary more south, Torch cancel up here, I've had my eye on weds next week, Didn't bother with the friday non event.
  4. Awesome, Enjoy, Thanks, Generally, We ride during the week where the traffic is pretty low, But for the next two, Its sat-Sun this week and Fr-Sun next week, Then back to going up Thurs am and ride Thurs-Fri-Sat.
  5. We good, Have to go get after it, Its there for the taking.
  6. We watch, We wait, In the meantime, Its time to hit the trails, Going north this weekend and next weekend too, Have to make lemonade when you have the lemons.
  7. Sheet drizzle and fog go hand and and with mud season.
  8. Chances were there that period could get muted some up here in CNE/NNE.
  9. 1.9°F was this mornings low here, That's the coldest of the season, Those lava rocks give off heat down there.
  10. Showery radar which i don't like, Dryslot nearby lifting north, 5" so far.
  11. Weatherunderground app has 3" for Lew, We have close to 4" now.............
  12. You can see it skirtng the coast on CC down there, It probably washes out with heavier rates.
  13. All this, Highlighted portion is what i was referring to last night that we may see development sooner and that would up qpf and snowfall, Ratios are going to be well above 10:1, So the kuchie is probably a better choice. Mesoscale Discussion 0075 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1249 PM CST Tue Jan 16 2024 Areas affected...Much of interior Maine Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 161849Z - 162245Z SUMMARY...Heavy snow rates on the order of 1-2 inches per hour are increasingly likely by 4-7 PM EST, and probably will linger further into the evening, before spreading to the northeast of the region. DISCUSSION...Downstream of a significant short wave impulse turning northeastward through the lower Great Lakes region, cyclogenesis is underway along a surface frontal zone near the northern Mid Atlantic through southern New England coast vicinity. Associated large-scale ascent is contributing to an expanding and intensifying precipitation shield beneath cooling cloud tops inland of coastal areas. It appears that this will continue while overspreading the remainder of northern New England through the balance of the afternoon, in response to further strengthening of lower/mid-tropospheric warm advection and forcing for upward vertical motion. A general consensus of latest model output indicates a more rapid deepening of the surface cyclone will commence by 21-00Z, largely offshore, across and northeast of the Cape Cod vicinity by 21-00Z. Across the coastal plain into higher terrain of Maine, deep-layer lift, becoming maximized within the mid-level layer favorably cold for large dendritic ice crystal growth, is forecast to become increasingly conducive to heavy snow rates around or above 1 inch per hour by 21-22Z, if not earlier. This will be aided by cold thermodynamic profiles entirely below freezing, and supportive of moderately large snow to liquid water equivalent ratios, as low-level moisture advection off the Atlantic contributes to increasing precipitable water content (.4 to .6 inches). Strengthening frontogentic forcing may contribute to bands of heavier snow rates approaching 2 inches per hour, with the heavy snow lingering through mid to late evening before diminishing and/or spreading with the large-scale ascent northeast of the region. ..Kerr.. 01/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX... LAT...LON 45666715 44236966 43657102 44227114 45277053 46276909 46776794 45666715
  14. Looks like the fun is still yet to come here, looks like its going to fall in that stripe that the models advertised last night.
  15. Rates have increased, 27dbz's, Looks like we have 2"+ on the ground now,
  16. Lava trying to rush the snow in, Not suppose to end until around 04z.
  17. Been off and on snow but looks like radar starting to fill in now, -SN, 21/18°F.
  18. I'm not seeing friday doing anything up here, I have 0 investment in that one, They will do well in the county no matter, It was trending since last night that they were going to benefit from this one.
×
×
  • Create New...