Stormlover74

24 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

why are they scraping the NAM?

 

It's going to live on a farm upstate

18 minutes ago, Wannabehippie said:

Abnormally dry just means you are below normal rainfall levels to date. We have gotten rain recently, it doesn't mean we have recovered from a rainfall deficit.

 

Yeah ewr is <3" since June 1st. Not a huge deficit but can start to have an effect especially this time of year 

8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah I don't think there's gonna be much activity this afternoon, but we'll see. 

It's crazy that ewr may end up with under .25" for the week 

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah I saw that cell popping up on radar last night before I went to sleep. I thought it would miss me just a little to the northwest, and that's what happened. I got only 0.23" from last night's steady rain, but at least it was enough to give the garden a watering. 

Models have very little this afternoon but Upton and Mt holly are going 60% chance of showers 

2 minutes ago, steve392 said:

Storms falling apart for nenj.... Again.  I really wish I could understand what happens in the atmosphere that this happens as it approaches Bergen County.  

What storms? They're all south of us

Flash flooding in philly and delaware

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Wasn't there one near Linden (KLDJ) that always runs hotter than KEWR?

 

No Linden is 91 right now while ewr is 96

Just another 95 degree day at ewr

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Had a couple 30mph wind gusts and a couple rumbles of thunder, but yeah it's only light rain. Probably only gonna get a few hundreths to maybe a tenth out of this.

I know. These gusts are making me nervous 

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

It's a very close call for our area. The northern part of the line heading into Mercer and Hunterdon could brush northern Middlesex and maybe even Union if it holds together. 21z HRRR has it missing just a shade to my south with heavy rain going through central Middlesex and light amounts up here, but we'll see. I'm holding off on watering the vegetable garden, hoping we get a decent amount of rain. Wouldn't be a surprise if it's just a shower though. 

It's very dark considering there's nothing imminent but yeah I think it will just be showers here unless that stuff take a.more northeasterly approach

TTN about to get blasted

3 minutes ago, Rmine1 said:

I’m not overly enthused for LI based on radar. Wait and see

Should just be showers.  Severe further south

Big cell east of Reading could hit parts of middlesex if it holds

7 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

I'm guessing you saw the SPC discussion, a Watch is likely coming soon for at least parts of the region.

Watch unlikely where the storms are in CT. Watch likely further south

96 at ewr. 

Lol hrrr (through midnight tonight)

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Downpour missing just a few miles to the east. 

Yeah I'm up in Warren looks like about to pour

24 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said:

Tomorrow looks pretty bad to me, could be almost as bad a day as 6/19 was possibly

Severe or flooding? 

7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Looks like this HRRR run was way overdone. We don't have the heavy storms across west-central NJ that this 12z HRRR run was showing for 2pm. HRRR has since backed off somewhat.

We do have some small downpours popping up here and there. I'm getting a little shower here right now. 

Yeah it's focused further west as well

10 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The one that hit about 5 miles northeast of here has tremendous tree damage-that seems to be the trigger for people to assume it was a tornado

It's fine to assume that. As it was happening I definitely thought it could be one. But when AI and some fake site claim it was confirmed its total misinformation 

I've spent so much time debunking the myth we had an ef-1 tornado. Some fake site picked up that a tornado hit and now everyone on fb is quoting it as legit including the mayor and local officials. So annoying

Getting a shower/downpour now

8 minutes ago, BxEngine said:

The last time the hrrr was right was 1987

And the nam? Has very little today

Looks like there will be some storms training over the same area sw of nyc and down into pa (if hrrr is right)

79/74 with some sun. Steambath