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osfan24

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Everything posted by osfan24

  1. osfan24
    Doesn't look as good as earlier, especially now that the Euro and RGEM seem to be almost copies of each other, but there's still hope. That deform band is hard to pin down there's still over a day until it gets going.
  2. osfan24
    So it's now looking like ICON, Euro, RGEM are all basically in agreement. I'm going to guess the CMC shows something similar. And the GFS isn't that far off.
  3. osfan24
    I guess there is still time for a trend back south, but there's clearly a consensus growing that west of Philly up through NJ and into NYC is going to be the heaviest axis of snow.
  4. osfan24
    What implication would this have?
  5. osfan24
    Who cares? Almost time to get RGEM'd.
  6. osfan24
    Euro and GFS have some big totals near Baltimore. It just matters exactly what part, because the difference is huge based on how far south the band sinks and where it sinks south.
  7. osfan24
    The ones farthest south but fairly tucked in would match the RGEM closest, not that it means you would get the same snow amounts but..........
  8. osfan24
    Worried you need a snowblower? The plows will have too much snow to clear?
  9. osfan24
    Agreed. That was a really good post and it's amazing how similar those low positions are at that point.
  10. osfan24
    FWIW, DT has a long Facebook post talking about the storm and hyped up the accuracy of the RGEM and said he is worried he could be well underdone in his forecasted totals for Central Maryland and would not take much of an adjustment to see 18-24 inch totals there.
  11. osfan24
    Look at the snow totals count up by the hour once the deform part of the storm begins. It's snowing like a tenth of an inch of snow for hours on end. That ain't gonna get it done. I'm sure it has something to do with the resolution, but like was mentioned before, the low needs to tuck farther south to get the best deform. The Euro is probably about 100-150 miles north of the RGEM.
  12. osfan24
    Yeah I was just coming to post that. At 1 pm, the RGEM is basically east of the mouth of the bay. The Euro is sitting off of Rehoboth.
  13. osfan24
    Euro seemed fairly tucked, but the precip isn't great, especially down this way. Deform band just drops a few inches. Hopefully it's wrong, but it doesn't seem to be budging and looks similar to the GFS to be honest.
  14. osfan24
    Here we go! Let's see a shift in our favor!
  15. osfan24
    That's an hourly simulation, but yes, the hope is it just stalls out and meanders for awhile. Just need it to do it in the right spot. Canadian models love us for some reason. Let's just pray they are right.
  16. osfan24
    Ha, beat me to it. Canada loves Baltimore!
  17. osfan24
    If the RGEM is right you can cook me on the grill.
  18. osfan24
    If that doesn't look like something, I don't know what does.
  19. osfan24
    Yeah, it needs to be farther southwest and it's an absolute beast.
  20. osfan24
    Definitely more traditional way, but man, not much snow out of that one.
  21. osfan24
    Yeah, hoping it's legit and holds together and clips me. Should roll through here fairly soon.
  22. osfan24
    I missed whatever fell overnight, but there is even a light dusting on colder areas of the sidewalk.
  23. osfan24
    Any big storms those years? Didn't 1979 have a HECS?
  24. osfan24
    I don't remember December 2009 being that cold, but the second February 2010 storm was quite cold. I also remember 1996 and 2003 being quite cold at times. 1996 it was in the mid teens and snowing. 2003 the temperature fluctuated, but I remember it being in the high teens and sleeting in College Park toward the end of the storm. Don't think 2016 got that cold until the deform.
  25. osfan24
    Biscuits are really, really good, though.
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