BombsAway1288

1 minute ago, wxtrix said:

this storm isn't going to shift enough north to give you a decent snowfall. <sad trombone>

I never said it was genius. I'm not expecting anything

Just now, wxtrix said:

p sure I'm getting 3-4 times the amount of snow you are going to get.  sucks to be you.

uumm okay. I never said anything about WV not getting as much snow. And for the record, I'm expecting less than an inch from this before the changeover due to the precip shield just getting eaten up by the time it gets up here.

Anyway, you're the one that lives in West Virginia so tbh, it sucks to be you in reality

Just now, mappy said:

We really don't need someone from Boston coming in and telling us how to track a storm. 

Relax bud. I'm not trying to hurt your ego and tell you guys how to track a storm. As I pointed out last night when everyone was getting all giddy because the inaccurate 18Z snowmaps were dumping on DC, I was just trying translate what the trend has been all year with these types of storms which as been more north than modeled 24+ hrs out and a quicker translation over to sleet and rain. That's all.

I think we continue to see the models warm with the 12Z runs as we draw closer. If that's not the case and you guys do get 6"-10" area wide then I was wrong and congrats. I just don't seeing it play out that way

21 minutes ago, mappy said:

appreciate the feedback from Boston

No Problem!

15 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Yeah, I like how he/she came in the storm thread to tell us about how aggressive the warm layer has been. Because none of us have been following that and harping on it for days.

10 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Phew, without your expertise none of us would know what to expect.  You should get a job at LWX.

From what I've been reading in the other thread, as recent as yesterday evening, all I was seeing was most people with snow goggles on getting all excited because LWX has DC is the 6-8" zone. Just trying to bring people back to reality and share what trends the models have had this year regarding situations of mid-level warmth being underdone on the models. I think the faster push of the ML warmth was starting to be reflected in the 06Z models this morning whether you guys like it or not.

9 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

I don't like trends towards less qpf.

Yeah, less qpf and warmer if anything from yesterday. NWS is going to bust hard with that ridiculously overzealous map they started way too high with. Good rule of thumb, especially in these CAD/marginal temp situations is to start low and take em up the closer you get as need be. Not the other way around as the public now has the wrong idea in their heads.

41 minutes ago, weathafella said:

FWIW....I think BOS actually has a new spotter so we can use the airport number 3.6 vs Winthrop meaning we add 0.1  This if true is an excellent development!

I think you're right. They had an accurate measurement today for sure, finally!

Not to dump on your party guys but just beware of the quicker flip to sleet/freezing rain. The mid level warmth push has been underdone (at least up here) on the models 24+ hours out in the storms like this one this year.

Also, the RGEM has been terrible 24+ hours out this year also, last year too if I remember correctly. Idk what happened to that model. I used to be so spot on. Maybe it'll actually perform this storm as it does have support.

Either way, good luck down there. Got 4" here today in what has been one of the worst winter seasons of recent memories here.

40 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

The 12Z Euro sucks too ? It is siding with the NAM - so how about the GFS ? Have to have an open mind about this situation until close enough to make a good call but I think this is going to be another nowcasting event....

Nothing against you but I've heard that about literally every single winter storm from one poster or another. Is every event just a "nowcast" event? If not, what exactly is the definition of a nowcast event?

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Cct south was a bust

True. I guess I was thinking in-terms of the Boston media market/Massachusetts. I assume you would fall within the Providence market?...

7 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Here comes the imby's

Seems like it was pretty well forecasted tbh. From BOX to the local news stations. Not sure how the Cape and the Islands did.

Any word from James? This had to have been the biggest one of the year so far for him

11 minutes ago, Greg said:

Logan International Airport at 2:00PM had recorded 3.4" of snow. Biggest of the season so far!

Finally, a correct measurement. It's a miracle!

50 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

If this was the single biggest event of the year for anyone but Cape Cod MASS I’d be shocked

Logan

Just under 3" here. Logan better not report anything less at 7am

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Been getting some good bands. Seems like 4-5”

It's gotta be at least that by you. It was ripping in that general area for a good 2 hours around 0030-0230.

1.5"-2" type of rates

6 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

Already an inch 

Yep. Just over here. The Weymouth-Brockton-Braintree area of the South Shore has been getting whacked the last 1.5hrs. Probably have at least 2.5in+ in that area right now

5 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

I should rephrase.. Looks pretty lame for our friends out west I think. Radar ugly for a lot of CT. 

It's actually heavy snow here right now. 

Came down nicely in that heavy burst. Now moderate snow with very tiny flakes 

It’s ripping pretty good here and with some surprisingly good growth, for now at least...

13 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

On air tv meteorologists are quite conservative with this storm, even though they would be better off if they forecasted what the guidance suggests, 4-8" from Hartford, CT to Boston, Ma points southward to the South Coasts of CT, RI, and MA.  I think SE MA and Cape Cod will see the most, in a band of OE snows, and a band that comes from the development of the secondary cyclogenesis of the low-pressure center which deepens from 1008mb while near NJ coast to around 995mb southeast of ACK.

Would you expect anything less? I would be going conservative also given this winter, unlike you who would be saying 6-8" across all of Cape Cod.

I think BOX's map is spot on FWIW

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the best is from Boston to the NH border on the EURO.

Either way, this is still looking like an all snow event for 90% of the sub-forum, right?

3 hours ago, 8611Blizz said:

FWIW Harvey is the most bullish. 2-4" region wide most others 1-3 or c-1 for my area.

Pete B. was quite bullish also. Said either 1-3 or 3-5 region wide but was leaning more towards the 3-5".

Does anyone know how much YQB has gotten this year? If Caribou has been on pace for a record winter, I would think Quebec City is up there also. Probably have a massive pack after the last few weeks.

Also, where can I get these totals for places in Canada?

Had a snow/graupel mix here. They ended up issuing a Snow Squall Warning. A little too late I guess but hard to predict obviously

On 2/10/2019 at 9:30 PM, powderfreak said:

Man the Sierra keep getting lit up. 

Squaw Valley and Alpine Meadows got another 36" overnight with 46" in 24 hours.

They were closed today due to extreme avalanche danger and all highways into Tahoe were closed by Highway Patrol.

 

Wow. And here I was, getting all excited for 3" of snow/sleet and an inch of rain.......

Apparently Logan has reported 1.9" officially. Close enough to what I have in terms of accuracy but of course they just couldn't report at least 2".

If this is the last accumulating snow for BOS this year (I don't think it will), when was the last time BOS did not report at least a 2" snowstorm for the season? Ever?

3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said:

Nearing about 3" in Southie. 

Yeah, easily over 2" here Harborside, in Eastie. Still all snow also. I'm gonna be pissed if Logan reports anything lest than 2" in the end