BombsAway1288

23 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

So the Euro sucked that much?

Sure did. I recommend everyone get away from the models, off this board and out for the rest of the afternoon. It’s 57 here with a nice breeze. Won’t feel this again for about another 2 weeks, maybe longer. Check back in this evening 

Funny to see the Pioneer Valley with the western Mass jack. In my 4 years of living there going to UMass the valley never even came close to the hills around them. They were always the lowest, not this time though 

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Chelsea reported 3.2 as of 545

Maybe finisher with 4”

many in metro west that snowed cat paws all nite finished with 6-7. Arlington , Watertown , Winchester 

Sounds about right. The light snow the past 2 hours has put about another half inch down. Will finish close to 4 and Logan should be about the same 

12 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

Did Boston get 1.9?

No. They were in the middle of a band when that was reported so it’s def more 
 

No changes though

Coastal areas are gotta have some treacherous driving conditions out there right now. All the rain and melted snow washed any salt and pre treat away and then the flash freeze. Don’t hear a lot of plows out either, think they called it quits this morning, oops. 

Dumping here the past 1.5 hours. Pushing 2in. 26 and dropping fast, the flash freeze is real

Really coming down in the north shore down to 95 band including Boston. Wouldn’t call it whiteout or blizzard but visibility dropped to about 100 yard for the last 30 min

Finally all snow here on the coast and things starting to whiten up. Need one more degree to start sticking to pavement. 33 now

Dusting on the grass in Chelsea. Still flipping between fat flakes and drizzle here. I guess 2-3 was even too much here. Congrats to those NW of 95

27 minutes ago, H2Otown_WX said:

No, it's one of the phantom five. Wraparound, NORLUN, TORs, not sure what the other two are I'm rusty lol

Eh, not really. You’re probably thinking about backlash snows from an occluding storm that show up on the models hundreds of miles south and west of a departing system. This CCB would be different coming from a maturing/strengthening storm. There’s a difference 

All hopes lie with the CCB tomorrow. Inside 128 is cooked with the WAA snows 

Going with 2-3 in Chelsea. Logan reports 1.5. Gradient is going to be crazy at the coast. Could easily see a place like Melrose or Saugus get 6-10. 
 

As others have said, it will come down to the CCB and how strong/long it lasts. If it really gets going tomorrow then the coastal numbers will go way up, even Logan

37 minutes ago, Greg said:

There not buying the bias warmer models. Snowing steadily at my house right now.

Sure, but there wasn’t as many of them when they hoisted warnings. Big changes on the 12z runs for coastal dwellers. I hope I’m wrong but I just can’t see coastal areas (within 5 miles) getting to 6”. Maybe they’ll drop them for just that, coastal sections

My guess is that BOX drops the warnings in Suffolk and Norfolk counties to advisories overnight. NE Mass-SE NH-SW ME is the place to be with this one 

Unusually saturated ground and full leaf out should still bring down a decent amount of trees which equals significant impacts. This of course is contingent on the winds mixing down efficiently. We’ll see how it plays out EOR.

ME and NS are locks for a memorable event at this point though 

30 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the path to the most wind on the west side is for this to complete extra tropical transition with great haste and essentially strike as a nor 'easter. While it is true that the wind field is expanding, the envelop of winds also becomes increasingly asymmetrical in the mid latitudes with much less wind on the west side of the system. It's on the east side where you add the forward momentum of movement where the strongest gusts more proficiently mix down. The west side is the focus on heavy rain, however.

No doubt. Rain is the biggest threat on the western side. Winds will be there but just be low end tropical storm strength. That however might significant enough with a very saturated ground and full leaf out, something we don’t usually get with strong nor’easters 

9 minutes ago, MattPetrulli said:

I don't think LF should focused upon as much as it should be for compact systems. It can landfall in NS and still be some pretty significant impacts for NE. Especially since there probably won't be a definite wind max at that stage and convection will primarily be focused to the west and NW. 

Absolutely. Looks like there may be a consensus forming wrt landfall location but like you said, impacts would def be felt far away.
Hurricane models coming together anywhere from EME-WNS but most importantly not one is OTS. Lee will be making landfall somewhere. 

21 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

18z GFS went warmer again by total synoptic manifold. 

Just heard that this was the first August since 1986 that Central Park failed a 90 degree reading. It would be a muse if Sep went the other way 

Pretty impressive but gotta think it’s a bit fraudulent because of the whole vegetation around the ASOS there.   NYC would usually be 3-5 degrees cooler than LGA on days after rains years ago. Not sure if that’s still the case

Very comfy morning with relatively lower dews and a nice WNW breeze. This is certainly far from those stagnant July mornings. 
Looks as average as you can get in the next week or so temp wise. No big heat and certainly no sauna. 
Enjoy everyone. Deep summer is starting to fade

Bad year for outdoor concerts wrt weather timing. Seems like every event has had some sort of weather impacting it

17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Pretty weak sauce severe season overall region wide, but at least there’s been some action. Some areas got a few good storms over the last 6-8 weeks.

Immediate Boston metro has done exceptionally well the last 6-8 weeks with storms including today. Theme of what seems like the last decade is storms die out to nothing the closer they get here, not this year

Easily the best thunderstorm in metro Boston in at least the last 5 years. Nonstop thunder and lightning for over an hour. Then the torrential rains came with good wind. Haven’t seen a light show like that in at least decade and it continues to my NE along the north shore. Awesome night 

Good size storm heading right for Boston. Ski is dark and plenty of lightning and thunder. Beautiful! 

4 hours ago, Heisy said:

Big snow event on 00z gfs, icon, and cmc for northern New England into Maine for around day 7.


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What else is new

Winds are much stronger today than at any point yesterday. I think in the future it’s a prudent move to hold off on any high wind forecasts with a nor’easter if it hasn’t bombed south of NE