ILSNOW

Approximately 2 hours till the fat lady sings.

Just now, Chicago Storm said:

0z GGEM came north. Tracks along IL/WI border.

and then there was 1 left. When will/if the Euro cave to every other model?

Baby steps

Just now, Chicago Storm said:

18z GEFS jumped north as well.

question for the PROS what is the Euro seeing that the others arent or what are the others seeing that the Euro isnt?

And what time does the 18Z EURO come out?

nope at 66 getting ready to go into west central wisconsin

Euro 72hr 998 SE IOWA

1 minute ago, mimillman said:

Thanks RC.

E3/E20 are how I see this eventually unfolding, favoring the IL/WI border. 

and that is at 10:1 ratio so snowfall should be higher. Just trying to stay positive trends today have not been our friend.

9 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Still pretty sizable spread on the GEFS. The operational model trends except for UKMET are what they are today, though not gonna punt this for northern IL. This synoptic setup is a tough one for the models to nail and some of the important features are in a data void area.

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To RCNY point above the 12Z operational GFS was north of the 6z but the 12Z GEFS is better than the 6z GEFS

yep 994 right over chicago at hr 78

you put much credence in most models moving north?

12Z NAM with a track thru southern Wisconsin

12Z GFS back south and is a crush job for Chicago area with wide spread 14-16 totals. I am sure it will fluctuate north and south over next few days.

2-3 inches of wet snow overnight 

From LOT sounds aggressive to me

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Chicago IL
859 PM CST Tue Jan 22 2019

...Impacting Wintry Precipitation Through Wednesday Morning...

ILZ006-231100-
/O.CON.KLOT.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-190123T1800Z/
Lake IL-
Including the city of Waukegan
859 PM CST Tue Jan 22 2019

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Snow, possibly mixing with rain overnight. Additional
  snow accumulations of 2 to 6 inches.

* WHERE...Lake IL County.

* WHEN...Until noon CST Wednesday.

Buffalo Grove freezing rain side streets are a skating rink

18Z GFS  total run has to be one of the best of all time for southern Wisconsin with close to 35 inches of snow I know it won’t happen but that snow map is unbelievable!!!

I would think if trends were to continue that LOT would post a LE snow watch/warning for cook and Lake Co IN  soon.

Recently from LOT

28 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Still no word from LOT on the lake effect this evening/tomorrow

you can see a LE band on radar starting around Milwaukee. You should do very well tonight!!!

9-10 inches here still snowing lightly

hope you are correct currently have steady light snow eyeballing 1 -1.5 inches if its going to snow at this rate overnight I think it is going to be tough to get there.