Rankin5150

5 hours ago, eyewall said:

Ok you are right and I am sorry. I have not been doing well outside of weather with a friend permanently damaged health wise by COVID and he lost his dad to the illness. I suppose I let that carry over to my posts here without thinking it through first. Anyway, I am awaiting the RAH discussion to see their line of thought given the latest runs for next week.

Praying for you bud. Praying for your friends and family affected.

3 hours ago, wncsnow said:

Just a sliiiiggghhttt difference 

OUCH

1 hour ago, griteater said:

That’s a nice looking suppressed pattern on the GFS for Sunday. Low comes out of the NE Gulf but fails to throw precip back into the cold air 

This far out, i can live with that.

6 hours ago, kvegas-wx said:

Saw Matthew East on FB mentioning a nationwide cold spell for 2nd half of March, including a lock in the southeast.  Dont want it, dont need it.  I'm done with it.  Bring me 50s and DRY!!

Matthew is awesome. I would take his input ANY time over Bastardi. J/S...

1 hour ago, Waiting on snow said:

Always next year. This one is toast as far as I'm concerned. Even if we pull off a March miracle I'll take it but March snow isn't my thing. Snow between 65-70 degree days melting in a few hours isn't my thing really.

There is always March 1960 analog to hang our hats on. LMAO! 

It looks like this round of runs is not showing any potential. Super quiet in here. Wish we had something to track yall. SMH...

10 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

That’s a great look for NC/SC Piedmont! 

This far out, it is a good look. The problem is...it is the 8-10 day conundrum, which we cannot get past. Tomorrow, it will be gone again. GRRR...

The models must REALLY be in TORCH MODE, because there has been NO activity at all in this thread today. LOL

For those feeling the angst of a SH!TTY winter so far, just remember that the Winter of 1960 in North Carolina went SNOWLESS until Mid Feb of that year. The record for TOTAL Snowfall in a season was broken in Charlotte, NC. It snowed on February the 14th and then another lull until March 2nd, where the snowgates opened up and it snowed back to back to back. They ended up with 27" overall, which is way higher than the average 4-6 b/s we see. Just giving some food for thought that winter is not always over until April, etc. 

This REALLY sucks that we have nothing to correspond about in the mid to long term discussion. Is there ANYTHING promising wintery weather wise? 

The Carolinas need to keep an eye on ULL development. Correct? This setup can really spawn one. Especially the counties adjacent to the Mountains. Just saying that this needs to be watched until the system has totally passed through. No weenie hope here. Just stating my two pennies based on past history, climatology, etc:

http://www.theweatherprediction.com/habyhints/2/

It looks like there is a little backside action filling in on radar. You all may get an hour or two of snow before it moves out...

11 minutes ago, Lookout said:

it was pretty insane how much local media was playing it up. Even for the south it seemed absurd. glad you got to srr at least a few flakes though. 

It is all hyped up from the Traffic debacle last year (or the year before?). We all cannot win for losing in our respective area(s). This is undoubtedly the toughest regions to forecast for snow. Hope all is well man!  

3 minutes ago, mackerel_sky said:

GFS looks a lot better! Heard ATL schools were closed tomorrow!? Little gun shy, and not wanting snowjam 3!

A lot better for ATL or overall? Thanks 

Looks like some of the models are showing light to moderate frontal snow event. If I am not mistaken, these types of systems favor more of the eastern areas of the carolinas and the areas west of 85 seem to get the screw zone with snow, etc. Will be interesting to see how this evolves...

Has anyone seen any responses from anyone on WHY the models are showing a suppressed look, with no cold? 

1 minute ago, Southern Track said:

He really knows his stuff.  The PAC Jet mention going into February doesn’t sound too promising.

I was thinking the same thing. GRROOOAN. I miss the early 2000's. The years between 2000-2004 were epic times. Tracking storms left and right, a couple of sizeable snowstorms between being nickeled and dimed. SIGH...LOL

3 hours ago, Bob Chill said:

The inverse JB model has near perfect verification scores. Backtested for decades. 

CLASSIC! Love it Bob! Good to see you posting in our group my friend. I hope you and your family had a safe and wonderful Christmas and New Year! 

3 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

Not NYC or BOS or DC, so that’s a big win in my eyes!

AMEN Brudda! 

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

This is normally a good look... but where is the cold

 

That does not look good...if you want cold temps, etc. 

14 hours ago, mackerel_sky said:

How’d these 2 amazing storms do for Gastonia?? I was there at the time, but 4-5 years old!

Whats up Mack? I was 7 years old and remember it. I lived in the Oakdale area of Charlotte (North CLT) and remember 6-8". I need to check on that though. It was right before my father got Pancreas cancer and I remember him coming home from Eastern Airlines and having a snowball fight with us. Great times brother. 

1 hour ago, FallsLake said:

CMC looks to hold it's ground for a major ice storm for up state to Charlotte to Raleigh. It anything it's a little colder at the surface than the past run. **first time it's trended back colder

Looks like the CMC stands alone with this extreme. I would not discount it just yet. I have seen the CMC handle CAD well in North Carolina. It will be interesting to see the NAM on the later runs. 

6 minutes ago, HKY_WX said:

The wife and I are looking at a move towards N Hillsborough sometime in the next 2 or so years. Looking forward to escaping the transition line that is Wake County.   /:

I feel the same way about Charlotte Bro. I need to move more towards the "north of I-40" side and get in on the embarrassment of riches they have from winter to winter. LOL 

5 hours ago, WeatherNC said:

Picked up about 3" of trailing vort bonus snow and still coming down at a good clip.  We had a couple hours of freezing drizzle yesterday evening and that coated the trees, really helping this wetter snow stick to everything.  Yardstick on the deck is at 20".

I am sure you have already posted this, but what was the final total up there? Hoping you ended up in a great spot! 

3 hours ago, DopplerWx said:

yep. sickening how it does the little jump above clt. at least i got 2 hours of really nice snowfall rates. hope to cash in on a big one later this winter.

Aint that the truth brother. I really need to move away from the CHARLOTTE I-85 kiss of death. LOL