Jed33

Currently getting some snow actually mixed in with the rain at the house. 10min ago I was sitting at 44 degrees dewpoint 31. I got up to go grab a drink of water and noticed it was 41, so I figured something must be falling. Looked outside and noticed it was mostly rain, but there were a few snow grains hitting the glass picnic table and melting. 

Picked up 2.26in of rain for the total from this event. Way more than it first appeared would fall. This system was definitely an overproducer!

Wow, it has gotten extremely foggy here in the last hour. Visibility is less than a quarter mile for sure.

Had a pretty good storm here too about 30min ago. Kinda caught me off guard a little bit. My son and I were out scouting some land a friend of ours owns. I noticed it was getting mighty dark, I just figured it was about to rain soon, when all of a sudden I saw a flash of lightning and asked him, was that lightning. Sure enough it was! There were several more intense flashes, and then the bottom fell out for a few minutes. Still getting moderate rain. 

Did MRX put out a graphic of snow fall totals on the current event we just had? I looked but couldn’t find anything? It’s funny how it all worked out, since I live in Morristown I go back and forth from both west to east side each day for work, school, etc.  Most of the county (Hamblen) got between 1-1.75in. Including me. However, there was an isolated area, close to and including where the NWS office is that picked up 2-3in+ and even looked like it could have approached 4! Only talking about probably a 3-5mi square radius. Had to have had some mesoscale components in that band in that area. Even just now, I drove through that area, and there is still a solid 2+in on the ground with hardly any grass showing. When I left the house, the snow had some gaps in it. Not nearly that much. I believe that @John1122had mentioned that he felt like some places E/NE of Knox could exceed WWA criteria, well this small area on the SW side of Hamblen came very very close to doing just that! Good forecasting John!

18 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Jed, we must be under that same band on the back side.  Just looking at the radar...looks like that band set up from Morristown into western Sullivan Co.  I have about 1" of snow in my front yard with nothing under the big tree.  On raised surfaces in the back yard...1.25" roughly.  IMBY...some places have two inches.  So, sitting at 1.5" roughly with lots of variation and still working through this last band of snow.  

Hey Carver, yes we must be. I have close to 2in in some spots as well with mostly 1.75in as the mean. This turned into a nice little event!

Well I spoke too soon. Looks like a little enchantment set up over me and now I’m right at 1.5in!

Going to finish with just slightly over 1in here at the house. A really early event for sure! This is the most snow I’ve ever seen this early in the year. Here’s hoping this is just one of many this winter for everyone!

Got right at an inch here too and still snowing. Kids out of school here in Hamblen today too

Now about 3/4in on the picnic table and grass. Crazy that we are talking about this on November 12!

Now 31 with moderate snow. Probably about 1/3in on the picnic table and grass.

A good steady snowfall rate right now. Temp has fallen another degree to 33.

Now 32. Getting a light dusting on the grass and picnic table.

Switched over to mostly light snow now. Temp 34.

Getting some sleet mixing in with the rain here now. Temp is 36.

5 minutes ago, BlunderStorm said:

We're seeing support for significant moisture behind the front across the board when it comes to models (at least for eastern areas). Can it all be wrong? Maybe, climo is a force to be reckoned with.

I think, to a degree, what is causing the models to anticipate such a fast changeover to snow, is the strength of the High Pressure that is driving the system. A 1049-1050 High entering the US, like we have right now is not your normal high pressure. Even for January standards, that is not your average high pressure system. Even by the time it gets down to TX, it’s still 1043-1044! I’m not sure if we had a high that strong all winter last year. Hopefully it will be strong enough to push the cold air in as fast as the models are advertising! Time will tell.

19 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I've gotten around 2 inches in the past 24 hours! Both GFS and Euro think more is on the way too! 

It is amazing how hard it is for the eastern valley to receive that kind of rainfall these days. So far we’ve had .05in from this system. The first part of the band last night just got eaten up by downsloping and it also looked as though convection along the gulf robbed the moisture transport north. That band just melted away once it passed Knoxville to the east. One day it will rain again like that around here, hopefully. 

Looks like it has bottomed out at 36 here at the house this morning with the first frost of the season showing up on my trampoline cover. A little colder than I was expecting this AM.

Picked up right at in inch here finally at the house after 50 days of little to no rainfall. Such a welcome sight around here! 

8 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Got the shaft on rain this afternoon.  Fairly robust line of rain developed over town and head east.  West Kingsport and northwest Hawkins Co only received at best .01-.02.  That one hurt.  I could see the heavy rain from my neighborhood.   Not overly confident in the next line, but it will have to do as that is it.  Might be able to squeeze out a tenth or two at best.   Right now sitting at .01" for the current system.

Similar situation here Carvers. The west side of town had a small shower around 12:45-1, but it fell apart and left us high and dry. So, that leaves me with 0.0 for this system and only 0.13 since August 28. I’m not too confident in this last little band, as it looks like it’s following suit and falling apart. 

Wow John, your area has really been hit hard with rain over the past couple months. It had been pretty wet here too, until recently. Until today, I had only had 0.01in since June 25! Everywhere around me had been getting rain, but in this one little area where I live, we had not. I picked up 0.60in today. Since it had been 16 days since I had significant rain, I’ll gladly take it!

Had another bout of small hail, and would really swear there was sleet and even a flake or 2 mixing in with it this evening. Temp dropped to 35 degrees during the heaviest of it. Covered the picnic table and stuck pretty good on the kiddos trampoline. 

Just had one of those storms roll through town here about an hour ago. Several close strikes of lightning and close to 15min of heavy rain mixed with pea sized hail.

Just had sleet and a few flakes mixed in. Enough to show up again in the eves of houses. Guess we’ll call it an “eve-duster” haha. It’s melting now that it’s stopped. Temp is 35. Dewpoint 31. I see that just north of the state line in VA, many counties are under WWA. Maybe Blunder will pick up a nice surprise this AM!

17 degrees this AM and a few snow flurries on the way to drop of the kids at school. Before I left the house with them I caught a glimpse of a cool sun pillar (at least that’s what I’ve always heard them called. There may be another name.)over the mountains. I have seen them before but never could quite get the lighting right to get a picture or I’m driving. This morning I wasn’t in a hurry and was finally able to get a decent picture. 

Few light flurries and snow grains here this AM too. Enough to see in the eves of housetops. Like stated earlier, it’s kinda sad to mention as one of the “events” of the year. Maybe next year will be better, we can hope, right.