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Nibor

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Posts posted by Nibor

  1. 5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

    Look at last March, I had 4 inches and some of them had 20...

    I live on the dividing line where elevation starts to go up. A few miles to my north or west has a surprising difference when it comes to snowfall. Isotherm’s yearly average snowfall map reflects this really well. 

  2. 34 minutes ago, snowheavyattimes said:

    TWC covering their assets. They say less than one inch of snow expected in the next 48 hours. But then the next line says that forecast can change.

    Are you looking at The Weather Channel App? If so that should be the very last line of weather forecasting you should look at. Pretty much all of those apps are computer automated. 

    • Like 1
  3. Storm thread analysis:

    Latest (insert model) run shows slightly less ideal solution, proclamations of storm is dead, winter is cancelled:

    rwEdw6N.gif 

    (Intermittent banter about overreactions/bad analysis of model output)

    15 minutes later, latest (insert model) run shows slightly more ideal solution:

    FrankShadyErne-size_restricted.gif 

     

    Rinse, repeat. 

    • Haha 1
  4. Boxing Day is why I became a member here. I got stuck at my sisters in Leonardo, NJ for almost a week. I have no idea how they got legitimate snow measurements down the shore because of the drifts. In a class of its own. 

  5. 1 minute ago, Rittenhouse said:

    IIRC there were a couple pros on here last night who discussed the potential for this to overperform. The dew point last night in Boston was 1...that was a pretty good indication of things to come. Also these overrunning snows from the south always seem to overperform and are poorly forecasted by the models.

    That’s fair but given how rare these November storms are I’m not surprised most people, including myself, were skeptical. 

    • Like 1
  6. Just now, NJwx85 said:

    This is what can happen when forecasters play it super conservative. 90% of the public was completely unprepared along with most road crews. No excuse for this in an area that gets on average 30-40” of snow per year.

    Agree but I’d say a similar amount of posters on this forum are surprised by the over performance. 

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