Nibor

11 minutes ago, kingbaus said:

Starting to lose hope for this storm in the NYC metro area.

Why? The Euro gave several inches of snow for KNYC at 12z and 18z. Several other models show accumulating snowfall especially north and west of NYC which is within the metropolitan area.

Damned if you do, damned if you don’t. I really see no problem here. A “snow alert” for a coating of snow isn’t overtly embellishing the forecast. They’re covering their bases, letting the public be aware snow is in the forecast saying a coating could happen. If it doesn’t happen no big deal. 

26 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Any word on the EURO?

Much flatter and further off the coast. 10:1 is only an inch or two for areas close to the coast. 

12 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Unlike our ursine relatives, the winterweatherweenie undergoes what is essentially "reverse hibernation," only coming out of a deep, 6-month sleep, from May through October, when the WWW senses that there might be a long range global model out there on the internet showing a BECS (or at least some flurries) over a week away.  And so, I'm back.  A little disappointed nobody posted the Euro, lol.  Let the games begin...

After last years lackluster winter I think many are pessimistic.

0z Euro also spins up a much more robust system for the 11/12-13 time frame FWIW.

0z Euro is warmer for the coast compared to 12z. Pretty wide swath of 6+ goes from the Lower Hudson Valley through southern New England.  Coastal areas don't see much snow if any.

If nothing else comes of the storm I'm happy Tropical Tidbits has been earning some YouTube cash flow.

What a beautiful weekend. Doesn't get much better.

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

About average here.  25 inches.   March (10 inches) and Nov (6 inches) storms saved us, but Met winter was a dud with about 5-7 inches of snow for the 3 months.  Horrid.      Forgettable winter in the face of what looked like consensus for a decent winter.   Used the snowblower once for the March 10 inch storm, but the rest had warm temps right after or a change to rain so I just let that melt or get washed away

We've been due.

56 minutes ago, NJwx85 said:

Sorry I am late to the game, but the convection last week was very impressive locally. Three separate thunderstorms, all with intense lightning, heavy rain and some gusty winds. Didn't see any hail but I know they had quarter sized hail in Paramus, about 5-6 miles away.

Had pea size hail in Ridgewood. 

https://i.imgur.com/JPepATb.gifv

Hiked up Slide Mountain in the Catskills today. If you're still jonesin' for a little bit of winter hike this mountain before the end of March. Drifts at the top are still around 3 feet deep. Awesome hike.

12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah friend in Hawthorne said it was pretty bad

1/4 inch size hail, severe lightning and wind. 

Hail in Ridgewood NJ

5 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

Saw that one coming earlier though....but the weather service, once committed to a warning, sometimes is slow to give up on it, maybe for sound reasons, i don't know.

Perhaps I don’t remember it correctly because it’s been nearly 20 years but I remember the expected totals forecasted being lowered in increments as the storm got close over a few days.

The Jan 15 bust was the day the Euro was no longer infallible. They had 24-36 inches for me at the onset of the storm. I ended with 5 lol. 

Both were terrible. Perhaps 2015 is just a fresher wound. 

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

The signs were there looking back-models gradually moved the goods N and E slowly but surely....plus the tendency for a later phase in general than models tend to show in these types of setups.   Could not believe we went from feet to inches....got about 8-10 here in the end with much higher amounts just North and East of us.   EPIC BUSTORAMA that hasn't been seen since.

I think there’s another that happened 4 years ago that I’ve been actively trying to forget. 

It’s gorgeous out here this morning. 

Coming down the hardest of the storm here. Tree limbs are weighing heavy from this pasty snow. 

3 inches here. Thinking I’ll get to 6 at the least. 

2 minutes ago, HVSnowLover said:

I always thought this was a 3-6 inch type event for the coast and I still think it's on track for that but for those thinking it was going to be 8 or 9 inches it will probably bust, we have probably about 5 hours max left of good precip 

I think someone with elevation will get to 10.

28 minutes ago, Negnao said:

I got 36 inches in the suburbs just west of dc. Dc only report about 18 for that storm. At least you get to have snow measured at Central Park. That’s a favorable location. 

With unfavorable measurers.

A little over an inch in Ridgewood. Pavement covered. Flakes are getting big. 

2 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

Na I think it’s a good call. Have to remember bus travel and many teachers commute from the north... like my wife 

Fair enough. I just remember when NYC schools were notorious for never closing for snow. 

21 minutes ago, SI Mailman said:

NYC Schools closed tomorrow

One November Snowstorm and politicians get shell shock lol

Dusting on cold surfaces. Pavement still wet. 

Flurries/white rain.