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Everything posted by BBasile
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Good stuff! It does look like it's intensifying into Jersey. Regardless, the whole line is looking pretty damn good. I want mayhem, but I'm okay with beneficial rainfall, too. Lol -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yes! I'm jealous as hell. Just don't get flooded... Or struck. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Maybe not? Point remains, though. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Third time is the charm, right? Three flood watches can't equal less than .5"?? -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
This. But even with some with fairly steady rainfall, like with stratiform events, the rainfall totals can vary over short distances. I use all my local Davis stations on Weatherlink, and more often than not, the totals are at least a bit different. And the stations are all within a few miles of each other. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with a much needed 0.46". Maybe some more today? The odds should be getting better, right? -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
The sky is glowing! Have 0.35" of rain so far. I'll take it! -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Gust front just came through. 30 MPH winds, dropped the temp and humidity. Hoping it doesn't do too much stabilizing. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Like a top. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
I'd love to be in Maryland right now! Looks like the line is going to play chicken with a sea breeze, too. That is some advanced warning for the Delaware Bay, as well! -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Pics or it didn't happen. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another one: The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania... East central Chester County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Northwestern Philadelphia County in southeastern Pennsylvania... Northern Delaware County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 545 PM EDT. * At 520 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over King Of Prussia, or 14 miles northeast of West Chester, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters reported funnel cloud. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Montgomery County in southeastern Pennsylvania... West central Bucks County in southeastern Pennsylvania... * Until 545 PM EDT. * At 519 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Spring Mount, or 20 miles east of Reading, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
The models had it falling apart a bit. But as of now, looks like this line is doing well. Tops are still over 50kft. Some good strong updrafts in there. I'll probably get nothing, now. lol -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Another slight risk in effect. Will this translate to any rainfall, though? "A modest enhancement to the westerlies aloft may contribute to as much as 25 kt effective shear, supportive of sustained clusters and linear segments. Steep low-level lapse rates and high-water content suggests damaging downbursts are likely, especially with any organized clusters this afternoon through around mid-evening. This most favored corridor for downbursts/tree damage is expected to focus east of the Blue Ridge across eastern portions of Virginia/Maryland into southeast Pennsylvania and New Jersey." -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's come to that, eh? -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Seems the local radars have been down a lot lately. At least KPHL is back up, just in case... -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Haven't been following the accuracy of the models, but Mt Holly stated that the models have been underestimating rainfall totals and coverage.