Jump to content
  • entries
    217
  • comments
    28
  • views
    107,823

About this blog

A few massive snowstorms have gained the respectability that every storm wants to gain.  The last few blizzards to strike the SNE region have not lived up to their predecessors.  The Blizzard of 2005 and 2015 are two storms that come to mind that blow everyone away when it comes to wind gusts and snowfall amounts in Harwich, MA.  When it comes to intensity of snowfall the Blizzard of 2005 is second to none, while the duration of the storm the blizzard of 2015 wins out.  Also wind gusts 2005 wins out over 2015 as Nantucket lost power as an 86mph wind gust hit the island, while Nantucket didn't lose power to the island in the 2015 storm where a 78mph gust ended up hitting the island.  As for snowfall amounts as I said earlier, the Blizzard of 2005 beat out the Blizzard of 2015 by two inches, 35" to 33" respectively. 

Entries in this blog

"Dawn Awakening: The Apocalypse is Now"

"Dawn Awakening: The Apocalypse is Now", is a heart wrenching tale about the end of the world through the study of geology.  Together we will experience, life, death and destruction of the world in a process known as the, "Earth Core Pulse", a theory I created on an epic energetic pulse of ultimate energy emanating from the Earth's Core throughout the faults of the Earth, and where it all starts, the Philippines, explodes into dust and heat is generated throughout the oceans as various earthquak
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

First Cape Cod MA snow? - After December 4th??????

The forecast for snow and cold looks dim the next 10 days, however beyond that time period, looks to the first real chance at a snowy and cold regime over New England and at least as far south as the 38N latitude line.  Anyone south of that latitude needs to wait until further into January time frame, but for those of us north of that latitude, the pattern change is being seen by most of the guidance after day 7-9 time frame, it looks like after December 4th an arctic front swings through the No
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Miller B Snowstorms and their tracks are important, I will tell you why

There are two kinds of tracks that impact the severity of a New England blizzard, one is the NJ track, where a surface low is west of the Apps and combines with southern energy and develops a coastal storm off the New Jersey Coastline.  Normally these primary systems with NJ coastal die off before they reach eastward or northward and combine with the coastal energy to form a monster snowstorm for Cape Cod.  The second track of this type of snowstorm is the Cape Hatteras track.  Now when the prim
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Potential Coastal Storm could have big impacts in Eastern New England this week!

The next four days present an unique challenge for weather forecasters.  Models present a blocked upper-level pattern which ensues at the surface as well.  A large ridge in Atlantic Canada will keep the coastal low pressure blocked at the surface and rather stalls or meanders off the coast near the New England storm benchmark location or 40N:70W.  Winds will increase after 12z tomorrow into 12z Friday, they should peak between 55-70mph winds at the coastline between 12z Thursday and 12z Friday. 
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Next 10 days could spoil SNE snow lovers

I'm intrigued that a colder solution for the next three events, could spell a 10 day window of snowfall ending up way above normal for the season.  Some models are producing snowfall amounts of 100" over ME for the next two weeks.  Oh man, I wish that happens on Cape Cod instead.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Comparing the last two GFS runs for fantasy storms

This is the 500mb imagery from the 12z GFS, from hours 300 to 384, these eight images suggest a powerful nor'easter takes about 150 mile path east of Boston, MA as a 968mb low, an offshore storm favoring the coastal regions of New England around December 16th 2017, about 15 days from now.  
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

ENSO conditions for this upcoming winter

Right now there is a greater than 55 percent chance of neutral ENSO conditions this winter.  This should favor above normal snowfall across most of central New England, with a tendency towards slightly above average snowfall for eastern New England and less towards normal across the northern and western parts of New England.  Storm tracks should be favored more eastward then last winter, more so from 35N:75W to around 41N:69.5W as an average storm track location.  Coastal plain of New England co
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Two Intense EF-1 Tornadoes touchdown on Cape Cod

My experiences with extreme weather in the past have been hard to come by.  Living on the outer Cape Cod, our chances at tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.  However, the greatest chance at severe thunderstorms and including supercells occur only during the months of July and August.  Now, why is this important?  During the months of July and August the water temperatures in the ocean around Cape Cod, except to the southeast, have been warming substantially and are way above average for this tim
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Tornadoes possible for SNE today!

Major Severe Weather Outbreak is underway today over SNE as the first tornado warning has been issued for Middlesex County, MA.  The rest of the region shows increasing potential for intense damaging winds over 70mph, large hail over 1.5" and a few tornadoes.  Severe Thunderstorm Watch in effect until 10 pm tonight.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Projects in Motion

My two opening works as a new coming writer, novelist, I am rewriting the first novel I wrote six months ago.  I could use some expertise from meteorologists
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Nor'easter to bring ferocious winds

NAM and its parallel model both show extensive potential for ferocious wind gusts on Tuesday late morning through the afternoon hours.  there remains a window of 6-12 hours where winds could gust as high as 105mph according to the NAM model.  Stay tuned for further updates.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

**12z Model Update for storm this weekend**

Most of the afternoon and late morning model guidance has trended towards a much larger and more severe event with the exception being the GFS, while the GFS produces over 8" of snow for the Cape, it also is weaker with the storm for Saturday.  We are less than 72 hours away from the first impacts of this winter storm, mix with rain is possible on the MA coastline, including the islands of Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard.  Winter storm watches could be issued as soon as Thursday afternoon from T
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

**Alert - Alert - Alert** (Hurricane Dorian update)

Yes, unfortunately, Dorian is now a hurricane.  Models showing a potentially catastrophic hurricane heading towards the south-central east coast of Florida landfall in the next 4 to 5 days.  Stay tuned as the models show an extremely dangerous hurricane making the approach to the Space Coast of Florida.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Preliminary Snow Map for January 20-21st Nor'easter

The next name on the Weather Channel's annual Winter storm name's list is Winter Storm Harper, he is currently badgering the West Coast of the US.  Models bring his heavy precipitation and moisture to the New England area in the form of snow for most, and snow/rain mix southeast of BOS to Hartford line.  My snow map is the latest blend of guidance, and if the UKMET solution is right, I could be bust pretty low on the South Coast of MA, RI, and CT and it could be in the form of all snow in which
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Dangerous Snowstorms the upcoming week could spread a deep pack across SNE

Models are aggressive with storm's developing from the deep southern jet stream branch with occassional diving northern jet stream branch with cold shots, these two streams could combine to produce three snowstorms this week.  Sunday night/Monday, Wednesday/Thursday, and again the following weekend all threat timeframes for substantial snowfall.  18z GFS produces 12-18" of snow over CHH the next 7 days.  Models are in two groups, it is pretty much the EURO vs everyone else.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

3z SREFs mean remains bullish for Snow on Cape Cod

3z SREFs has a mean snowfall of 6.45" over HYA from tomorrow evening through Monday evening.  Some members are over 20" of snow and half are about 12"+, so there is a lot of spread in the means, and plus while the 00z EURO didn't show much precipitation over Cape and Islands, the model did up the ante with the upper level low and the surface low strengthening.  Also, the HRRR 6z run shows a lot of lightning developing with the surface low as it reaches the coastline, this could impact the surfac
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0
×
×
  • Create New...