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About this blog

A few massive snowstorms have gained the respectability that every storm wants to gain.  The last few blizzards to strike the SNE region have not lived up to their predecessors.  The Blizzard of 2005 and 2015 are two storms that come to mind that blow everyone away when it comes to wind gusts and snowfall amounts in Harwich, MA.  When it comes to intensity of snowfall the Blizzard of 2005 is second to none, while the duration of the storm the blizzard of 2015 wins out.  Also wind gusts 2005 wins out over 2015 as Nantucket lost power as an 86mph wind gust hit the island, while Nantucket didn't lose power to the island in the 2015 storm where a 78mph gust ended up hitting the island.  As for snowfall amounts as I said earlier, the Blizzard of 2005 beat out the Blizzard of 2015 by two inches, 35" to 33" respectively. 

Entries in this blog

Dawn Awakening: End of the World

If you want to help with writing a movie script about the end of the world you can help me out, just add your email address I will email you a copy of the character list and the start to my new movie script I am writing.  SO I can use anyone with experience or with the love to write and who is dedicated to writing a masterpiece of art.  Thanks!   James Warren Nichols Productions
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Pattern Change towards arctic cold and snow returns for the first time this year

As a weather weenie, what separates our love for the weather from most people on this Earth?  What triggers our emotional senses when a snowstorm doesn't go our way?  What do we know of ourselves that makes us love the snow?  Simply put, it is our passion.  We love it as much as the next person loves candy, or his or her Boyfriend or girlfriend.  We love the weather because we are passionate about it as much as we are curious when it doesn't follow our projections.  So why tell you this?  Becaus
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First New England Snowstorm this upcoming week, TUE into WED

The first moderate snowstorm of the fall season and winter season comes for Tuesday into Wednesday, October 23-24th, 2018 from Caribou, ME CWA northwestward into the mountains of NW Maine, where up to 8" is possible, and forecasted by the models.  I have my first snowfall map this year posted in the NNE fall thread and I will post below.  An arctic jet will come southeastward during the late weekend into the early weekdays of the next few days.  As it hits the SE New England coastline a surface
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A New England Thanksgiving Snowstorm?

Cape Cod has not had a real snowstorm on Thanksgiving since my birth year, 28 years ago on Thanksgiving.  I was supposed to be baptized in the Roman Catholic Church a few months after my birth, which happened to be Thanksgiving week.  However, we had a great snowstorm that dumped almost a foot and a half of snow.  My parents have pictures they showed us growing up.  I have always wanted a white Thanksgiving and Christmas in the same year, wouldn't that be fascinating if this was the year?  Troub
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The Weather Channel - Naming List of Storm Names

List of names (TWC) issued for the 2019-2020 winter season: Aubrey - Bessie - Caleb - Dorothy - Ezekiel - Finley - Gage - Henry - Isaiah - Jacob - Kade - Lamont - Mabel - Nash - Odell - Pearl - Quincy - Ruth - Sadie - Thatcher - Upton - Veronica - Wyatt - Xandra - Yates - Zachariah
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Novel being considered for publishing

Hey everyone of Americanwx.com foruims, Today I inform you that my novel, 'The Dawn Awakening: Opening Segment" is being reviewed by a publishing company for potential publishing, keep me in your prayers, as we can get through the barrier of publishing.  Thanks, I will have another updated blog on Thursday when they make the decision.  Thanks!   James Warren Nichols  
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Working on First Novel again

Well, guys and gals, the first novel is being rewritten now, the previous draft I finished wasn't good enough, so I am taking James Patterson's masterclass and I am learning the art of writing.
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00z Model Suite beginning to trend towards an impact storm on Wednesday night

Could there be impacts from a nor'easter on Cape Cod on Wednesday night into Thursday?  If there will be, it might be shortlived as snow impacts will be light if it occurs.  Judging by the model trends tonight, I am growing more confident of an impact, even though less than an inch would be possible unless something large changes like the storm is at the benchmark.  H5 has been trending towards a more amped up through the present with an Arctic jet shortwave on the backside of the longwave troug
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Confidence Increasing for a Significant Coastal Storm on Saturday for SE SNE

00z and 6z models have brought an increasing amount of confidence that a significant snowstorm will impact the region sometime Saturday through Saturday night.  This looks like an all snow event once again, however, the dynamics are much better with a strengthening storm center passing just southeast of the benchmark.  Snow favors Cape and Islands and most of SE MA from the BOS to PVD corridor of I95 southeastward.  Cape Cod and the Islands have the best shot at a foot or more of snow.
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December 25th Christmas Snowstorm Snow Map Final Call

Here is the more detailed snow map for the final call, I added an 8-12" amount region and a special 12" amounts region for the mountains of NW ME and N NH.  I think some of the mountains in northern ME could see 12-18" of snow considering nearby arctic air mass and ratios.  Also I added a blizzard conditions possible area and a high wind 60mph+ gusts area, mostly the ocean northeast of CHH, but includes CHH and the Outer Cape Cod area.  This storm will bomb out as it develops over the Cape Cod C
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March 7-8th 2018 Nor'easter potential Blizzard Map

This is my only snowfall map for the Noreaster of March 7-8th 2018.  Thundersnow is apparent in NJ and NYC and especially in the warm conveyor belt south of SNE where lightning is immense underneath very cold cloud tops where convection is.  these heavier snow rates will bring down the cold air from the 850mb layer of the atmosphere and lead to potential snowfall over the Cape and Islands tonight the R/S line will crash southeast as the surface low is forecasted to move southeast of Nantucket an
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President's Day Snow Map Updated

Snow is beginning just on either side of midnight tonight into the rest of the day on Monday.  Models have upped the moisture produced by our secondary low with a max of around .50 to 1.00" of QPF from CHH westward to Plymouth, MA.  Winter Storm Watches issued for SE MA, RI and Cape Cod.  The Islands of Block Island, RI, Martha's Vineyard, MA and Nantucket, MA will see 2-4" with potential for rain mix with the snow.  Widespread Southern New England amounts of around 3-6", 6-12" the closer you ar
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"Dawn Awakening", the first edition is available to read

If you heard the names of Franklin, Gert and Harvey, you would think, hey those are just general names and nothing bad to think about here, but you put a hurricane in front and now you have, Hurricane Franklin, Hurricane Gert, and Hurricane Harvey, now you have built in fear.  What if the US was in an unprecedented times, the weather was king and the oceans were warming without the impacts of global warming, nope Solar radiation was normal, so it can be that, no what if you were a meteorologist
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Winter Storm could bring first accumulating snows to SNE

Models are beginning to show signs of a potential winter storm in the 6-8 day period.  EURO and GGEM show this storm impacting SNE, with ocean effect snows and synoptic precip, the GGEM is a little warmer than the 00z EURO, which shows this potential as a trough swings through the upper level flow.  I have been keying on this potential as there appears to be a Quebec, Canada Arctic high in place north of the storm and north of NYS.  This will lock in the cold air at the surface into the coastlin
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January 15-19th Second call snowfall map

This map is the combined storm threats the next four days, I included the Thursday storm because I believe that the models will come northwest with the coastal storm on Thursday enough to add a few inches to the forecast for Cape Cod.  I believe 12"+ will occur on the Cape, south and north shores of Boston, MA as this is combining all three events which it looks like all three will contribute 3-6" of snow to this part of the region.  Most of the rest of the region will be 6-9 or 9-12" from the W
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With SSTs way above average in the NW Atlantic Ocean, severe weather seems likely this weekend

Without a true marine layer influence this late summer day, we could see a major severe weather outbreak late on Friday night.  Shear and instability need to be checked but models show a very potent upper level low traversing the region late Friday afternoon swinging a cold front which will bring below normal temperatures through the area later this weekend into the early weekdays.  Stay tuned and listen to the latest from your NWS WFO.
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Snowstorm in the future???????????????

Somewhere in the pattern fluctuations, there is the potential for a snowstorm for Mid Atlantic and the Northeast come next week, after Monday or maybe on Monday the 25th, Christmas day onward as an arctic air mass invades from the central us towards the East Coast.  Teleconnections support a three day period for a snowstorm on the coast from about the 24th to 27th that week.  The pattern evolves to support a +PNA/-NAO and -AO all line up for a coastal storm, it could be a big QPF producer and ma
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Last week of October, beginning of November, cold returns, but does this mean first snow, or rain?

SO the models are showing frigid air entering the northern Plains sometime in the next ten days and that cold air filters into the eastern US by day 13-16, which is the 27th and beyond of October.  We could be seeing a change to much colder air eventually as winter gets closer.  Most of our storms this winter will be from the Oh Valley to the Mid Atlantic coastal storm tracks, signifying that miller Bs and not Miller As will be the normalcy this winter.
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Tropics Update! Invest 94L is a threat!

Latest forecasts show the development of invest 94L, designated this as such due to the fact it is an area of interest the NHC has designated for a more thorough investigation with models and other observations are allowed to take place.  The designation is assigned a number 90 through 99 and then is recycled through and through.  Since the areas are only investigation numbers, they would rather recycle through the same numbers than confuse everyone about them.  94L is a system about 100 or so m
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