Hoth

Don't worry. They're all at @weatherwiz house.

A whiff is a lot easier to digest when you've already got heavy snow cover and consistent subfreezing temps.

Just out of curiosity, could sparse data be affecting model outputs? How's the sampling in the source region for this thing?

Man that's a mauling for eastern areas.

Perhaps my memory is wrong, but didn’t the models struggle with convection and multiple lows before the Jan ‘18 storm? It was practically go time when they converged on the western low as dominant. Maybe this is something similar.

Well, bummer. On the flip side, a miss will save me tens of thousands in snow removal and flat roof clearing and ice dams. Always a silver lining.

I was gonna say, given Tip's description of this as perhaps unprecedented, they may not have much historical precedent to train from.

It wants to snow. This is my third day straight with snow in the air, which just doesn’t happen down here. This is coming. Whether it’s a humdrum affair or raging blizzard, who can say, but it’s gonna snow. Long live winter!

huh, flakes in the air. Wasn’t expecting that today. Definitely a deep winter vibe this week.

Thanks. That’s pretty much how I was picturing the process.

Does it usually set up where you have greater diffluence aloft?

I was saying that earlier. I remember before Feb 2013 ol' Nammy was spitting out like 70" north of Boston on a couple runs. Hope we see some of those this week, if only for the laughs.

Perfect gossamer flakage. Reminds me of the sort of snow I’d see skiing in Stowe as a kid.

You just know the long range NAM is gonna deliver a few BECS runs in this setup. Remember when it spat out like 75” in the run up to Feb ‘13?

Yeah super enjoyable for me. Heavy daytime snow is always special and the cold made it more so. Flirting with the sleet all afternoon was a bit nerve wracking, but it was a great storm and a big relief after the last several years. Now let’s bring this weekend home and move into epicosity territory. Good things happened the last time the Pats played Seattle in the Super Bowl. Let’s do it again.