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Why did Jan 12, 2011 turn into a HECS?


ORH_wxman

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Bump..

What if any differences are there with this storm compared to the Jan 12th superbomb?

Southern stream system...5h vortex doesn't track as optimal as Jan 12th....kicker is more of an issue this time to boot the storm out quickly. We'd need 5h to come in much closer than guidance indicates and intensify rapidly at the same time to boot...fairly unlikely to happen, but not impossible. This will probably be more of a 6-8 hour event (if you exclude any light snow we get this afternoon from front end stuff)....but we'll definitely see what happens.

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