Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,236
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    vasisa
    Newest Member
    vasisa
    Joined

Central Atlantic Area of Interest—30% 2 day and 80% seven day odds of development


 Share

Recommended Posts

The tropics are active now with three systems being monitored. This is the thread for the current central Atlantic cherry.
 

OBiEj4G.png
 

There has been a strong cross guidance signal for days that a central Atlantic wave will develop. The models have actually been quite robust with this wave once it develops, in similar fashion to the rapidly intensifying Gabrielle.

The AI ensembles, which have done a particularly good job sniffing the environment out, are particularly strong. Now, while the majority of guidance turns this out to sea without threatening any land masses, the amplitude and timing of a trough in the coming week will determine the eventual evolution, along with where this develops. I expect this to develop first if both waves develop. 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 The 12Z UKMET threatens Bermuda:

NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 22.0N  61.0W

                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND
      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)
      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------
    1200UTC 26.09.2025   96  22.5N  61.5W     1010            35
    0000UTC 27.09.2025  108  22.5N  62.5W     1008            37
    1200UTC 27.09.2025  120  23.1N  63.5W     1007            38
    0000UTC 28.09.2025  132  23.7N  64.1W     1005            45
    1200UTC 28.09.2025  144  24.5N  66.1W     1003            41
    0000UTC 29.09.2025  156  25.6N  66.8W     1000            43
    1200UTC 29.09.2025  168  27.2N  66.4W      997            45
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • WxWatcher007 changed the title to Central Atlantic Area of Interest—30% 2 day and 80% seven day odds of development

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...