BAY OF CAMPECHE 98L NOW UP TO 20/20

[BarryStantonGBP]

1. Southwestern Gulf:
A tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending across eastern 
Honduras, northeastern Nicaragua and adjacent marine areas.  This 
system is forecast to move west-northwestward and cross the Yucatan 
Peninsula on Wednesday with no significant increase in 
organization.  Some development of this system is possible after it 
emerges across the southwestern Gulf beginning on Thursday while 
the system moves to the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

[BarryStantonGBP]

[BarryStantonGBP]

[BarryStantonGBP]

 

[GaWx]

10 minutes ago, BarryStantonGBP said:

 

The Bay of Campeche/SW Gulf has often over performed. A TC from this wouldn’t at all surprise me. The NHC is probably too low with its percentages.

[BarryStantonGBP]

2 minutes ago, GaWx said:

The Bay of Campeche/SW Gulf has often over performed. A TC from this wouldn’t at all surprise me. The NHC is probably too low with its percentages.

Fernand strikes me as a gulf quick fire name

[WxWatcher007]

Never count out the BoC

[BarryStantonGBP]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Never count out the BoC

A tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula is producing disorganized 
showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is forecast to move 
west-northwestward and cross the Yucatan Peninsula today with no 
significant increase in organization. Some development of this 
system is possible after it emerges across the southwestern Gulf 
beginning on Thursday while it moves to the northwest at 10 to 15 
mph. The system is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico 
by late Friday, which should diminish its chances of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

[BarryStantonGBP]

Invest 98L
As of 18:00 UTC Aug 13, 2025:
 

Location: 18.4°N 89.9°W
Maximum Winds: 20 kt  Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1012 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 100 nm

[BarryStantonGBP]

 LMFAOOOOOOOO 

[BarryStantonGBP]

Southwestern Gulf (AL98):

A broad low pressure area has formed from a tropical wave over the Yucatan Peninsula with disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. This low is forecast to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf overnight where environmental conditions are marginally conducive for further development. The system is forecast to move inland over northeastern Mexico by late Friday, ending its chances of formation.

Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.

Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.