invest 95l (70/70) - RENUMBERED TO "4" ON RAMMB

[BarryStantonGBP]

lmao 

 

 

haha

 

Invest 95L
As of 06:00 UTC Aug 03, 2025:
 

Location: 33.2°N 73.5°W
Maximum Winds: 30 kt  Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 50 nm

[BarryStantonGBP]

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):
A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary 
about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
marginally favorable for this system to potentially become a 
tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while 
it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of 
North Carolina. Environmental conditions become less conducive for 
development after Monday. For additional information, including gale 
warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percen

[BarryStantonGBP]

lmao

 

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):
A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary 
about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
marginally conducive for this system to become a tropical or 
subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while it moves 
east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of North 
Carolina. After Monday, environmental conditions become less 
conducive for development. For additional information, including 
gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

[Kevin Reilly]

3 hours ago, BarryStantonGBP said:

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):
A non-tropical area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary 
about 180 miles off the coast of North Carolina is producing 
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are 
marginally favorable for this system to potentially become a 5
tropical or subtropical depression or storm today or on Monday while 
it moves east-northeastward at about 10 mph, away from the coast of 
North Carolina. Environmental conditions become less conducive for 
development after Monday. For additional information, including gale 
warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National 
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percen

Yea winds here in the Outebanks are sustained from the NE 20-30 with gusts to 40 mph.  Water is closed to swimmers double red flags as the ocean is running 

5-8 feet.

[marsman]

Was interesting watching this thing spin up right in front of me down in Carteret county. Had squalls from all directions. Picked up 2.12” of rain but only had a high gust of 35mph just off the water. High sustained was about 20mph. 

[BarryStantonGBP]

1. Western Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a 
non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east 
of the North Carolina coast.  While satellite wind data show that 
the low is now producing gale-force winds, the system remains 
attached to a frontal boundary.  However, environmental conditions 
are conducive for this system to acquire additional tropical 
characteristics, and a tropical storm is likely to form by Monday 
well east of the North Carolina coast. LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO. For additional information, 
including gale warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by 
the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

 

[BarryStantonGBP]

someone please explain this @ed 

I thought Erin would become the african wave but idk now:

 

TomballEd

Category 2

Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

•  

#8 Sun Aug 03, 2025 11:58 am 

Obviously still tied to the front and the center is elongated but this could go sub-tropical storm at any time depending who is on the shift at NHC.

Will never amount to much, will be a low end storm and GFS weakens it quickly in a couple of days, but GFS suggests a future Dexter may have a sister Erin, which would also be weak but would have East Coast impacts

[BarryStantonGBP]

[BarryStantonGBP]

renumbered from 95 to 4 by rammb

https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=al042025