Chester County PA on pace for snowiest decade on record

[ChescoWx]

So far this decade Chester County PA is averaging 45.0" of snow each season. If we keep this pace over the remaining 2 winter seasons left in this decade we will finish as the snowiest decade since NWS Coop record keeping began in the 1890's. Below are the 13 decades ranked from greatest to least.

1) 2010-2020: 45.0" (partial)

2) 1900-1910: 44.9"

3) 1910-1920: 39.0"

4) 2000-2010: 37.9"

5) 1894-1900: 34.2" (partial)

6) 1920-1930: 33.3"

7) 1980-1990: 33.0"

8) 1960-1970: 31.7”

9) 1990-2000: 31.5”

10) 1950-1960: 25.4”

11) 1930-1940: 24.4”

12)1970-80: 21.7”

13) 1940-1950: 21.6”

[zenmsav6810]

12 hours ago, ChescoPaWxman said:

So far this decade Chester County PA is averaging 45.0" of snow each season. If we keep this pace over the remaining 2 winter seasons left in this decade we will finish as the snowiest decade since NWS Coop record keeping began in the 1890's. Below are the 13 decades ranked from greatest to least.

1) 2010-2020: 45.0" (partial)

2) 1900-1910: 44.9"

3) 1910-1920: 39.0"

4) 2000-2010: 37.9"

5) 1894-1900: 34.2" (partial)

6) 1920-1930: 33.3"

7) 1980-1990: 33.0"

8) 1960-1970: 31.7”

9) 1990-2000: 31.5”

10) 1950-1960: 25.4”

11) 1930-1940: 24.4”

12)1970-80: 21.7”

13) 1940-1950: 21.6”

Its probably unlikely that we will see this record hold serve, as it would require the next seasons to be 45" or over. In fact the true probability is likely less than 35% (although to calculate it, I would need the raw data set.) The weenie in me say lets give it the olde college try though.  

[ChescoWx]

10 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said:

Its probably unlikely that we will see this record hold serve, as it would require the next seasons to be 45" or over. In fact the true probability is likely less than 35% (although to calculate it, I would need the raw data set.) The weenie in me say lets give it the olde college try though.  

Hi Zen

I think chances are closer to 50% - our normal snowfall is 35.9" - I think we have a well above normal snow year this year with near 60" of snow...now if that happens we only need to be slightly above average at 40" next season to seal the deal. Either way climate change has certainly worked to increase snowfall. The beauty of climate change is - it remains the answer for all weather situations!! Kind of interesting that exactly 100 years apart we have the snowiest back to back decades -makes you wonder if weather is kind of cyclical?

[zenmsav6810]

On 12/11/2018 at 8:21 AM, ChescoPaWxman said:

Hi Zen

I think chances are closer to 50% - our normal snowfall is 35.9" - I think we have a well above normal snow year this year with near 60" of snow...now if that happens we only need to be slightly above average at 40" next season to seal the deal. Either way climate change has certainly worked to increase snowfall. The beauty of climate change is - it remains the answer for all weather situations!! Kind of interesting that exactly 100 years apart we have the snowiest back to back decades -makes you wonder if weather is kind of cyclical?

I hope your right. Nothing beats weenie logic. hehe