2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season

[Windspeed]

Looks like 90 kts will be the peak for Oscar as the core is deforming. Should be slow but steady weakening, then transition to a powerful extratropical cyclone.

[Windspeed]

Monthly Atlantic Tropical Weather Summary

000
ABNT30 KNHC 011148
TWSAT 

Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Nov 1 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

October was above average in the Atlantic basin.  Three named
storms formed during the month, with a fourth (Leslie) beginning
in September and carrying over into October.  Three of these storms
became hurricanes during the month, and one became a major
hurricane.  This compares to October averages of two named storms
and one hurricane every year, and a major hurricane about every
third year.

In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which measures the
combined strength and duration of tropical storms and hurricanes,
activity in the Atlantic basin thus far in 2018 has been above
normal.  The season has already had 7 systems that were subtropical
at some point in their lifetime, which eclipses the previous record
of 5 in 1969.

Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
the National Hurricane Center website at
www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2018&basin=atl .

Summary Table

Name                 Dates         Max Wind (mph)
---------------------------------------------------
TS Alberto         25-31 May            65*
H  Beryl            4-15 Jul            80*
H  Chris            6-12 Jul           105
TS Debby            7- 9 Aug            50
TS Ernesto         15-18 Aug            45
MH Florence    31 Aug-17 Sep           140
TS Gordon           3- 7 Sep            70
H  Helene           7-16 Sep           110
H  Isaac            7-15 Sep            75
TS Joyce           12-18 Sep            45
TD Eleven          22-23 Sep            35
TS Kirk            22-28 Sep            60
H  Leslie      23 Sep-13 Oct            90
MH Michael          7-12 Oct           155
TS Nadine           9-12 Oct            65
H  Oscar           27-31 Oct           105
---------------------------------------------------

* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

$$
Hurricane Specialist Unit

Preliminary Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Tracks

[Windspeed]

A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Significant development of this system is not expected during the next couple of days due to strong upper-level winds. However, these winds are forecast to lessen by Tuesday, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form during the middle of next week while the system moves near or north of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.